2016 Postmortem

Coventina

(27,223 posts) Sat Oct 1, 2016, 12:12 PM Oct 2016

I think with some effort, Arizona could go for Clinton.

Here are my reasons:

1) Many Republicans aren't comfortable with Trump to begin with (see recent endorsement of Hillary by the AZ Republic)
2) There are a lot of Libertarians in this state who are going to vote for Johnson, and that includes a lot of Republicans who lean Libertarian. They will be more inclined to vote Johnson than Trump. This is what I have heard them saying, so it is a bit anecdotal.
3) There are a lot of Mormons in this state who would normally vote for the Republican, but they pretty much despise Trump. I understand that many of them are going to write in a Romney-supported candidate.
4) Pima County (second largest in the state) is heavily Democratic and will probably go Clinton.
5) The Metro Phoenix area is getting more and more Democratic.
6) We have a large Hispanic population in the state, we know they aren't voting Trump.

I think with all these factors in play, we might, just might have a chance if there is some real effort put in by Hillary and her campaign.

8 replies

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I think with some effort, Arizona could go for Clinton. (Original Post) Coventina Oct 2016 OP

I think Hillary has a good chance of turning AZ blue. AgadorSparticus Oct 2016 #1

I see non-stop ads for both (when I watch TV, which isn't often, I admit). Coventina Oct 2016 #2

I'm glad you're seeing her ads. I don't but then again, I only turn on Phx stations sporadically AgadorSparticus Oct 2016 #3

Not sure, all I can find is reporting that the polls are close..... Coventina Oct 2016 #4

Atleast it is close. Definitely, fingers crossed!! AgadorSparticus Oct 2016 #5

The few Kirkpatrick ads I see are immediately followed Grown2Hate Oct 2016 #6

Yep. I see that too. His ads overwhelms her 1 ad. AgadorSparticus Oct 2016 #7

If DNC had set up ground operation Arizona was possible beachbumbob Oct 2016 #8

AgadorSparticus

(7,963 posts)

1. I think Hillary has a good chance of turning AZ blue.

Reply to Coventina (Original post)

Sat Oct 1, 2016, 02:06 PM

Oct 2016

But with all the money being pumped from RW donors, Ann Kirkpatrick is having a harder time going up against McCain now. Whenever I am up in the Phx area, I notice it is just nonstop McCain ads at night now. Not sure if that is true or not, but it just seems like it.