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Quixote1818

(28,930 posts)
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 08:04 PM Oct 2016

I predict a surge toward Clinton in the final 48 hours.

She will be ahead but say 3 to 5% and then gain another 2 or 3% as the undecided lock in. I just don't think a lot of undecided will be able to vote for him when they get inside the booth and really think about what a fucking nut case, scum bag he is and what he could do to foreign relations and everything else.

This is not a typical election. Trump is deeply flawed and while things usually tighten at the end I think we may see just the opposite in this case. Not to mention I think people afraid of Trump will be extremely motivated to vote and independents who may lean Trump but not care for how he acts, just might stay home in pretty high numbers.

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I predict a surge toward Clinton in the final 48 hours. (Original Post) Quixote1818 Oct 2016 OP
Hope you are right. apcalc Oct 2016 #1
Rethugs love their 1980 comparisons, Dawson Leery Oct 2016 #2
The FReaks think it 1980 the other way. They think Trump as Reagan is secretly ahead and landslides. Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2016 #5
Zero chance of anything like this happening oberliner Oct 2016 #8
No, but a 35 state win is possible. Dawson Leery Oct 2016 #9
That would be great oberliner Oct 2016 #11
It will be larger than that PATRICK Oct 2016 #3
It could be a LANDSLIDE Chasing Dreams Oct 2016 #4
We have seen a surge since the last debate...and no reason to think beachbumbob Oct 2016 #6
Just talked politics with a good friend GulfCoast66 Oct 2016 #7
Agree, also superior ground game and political expertise radius777 Oct 2016 #10

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
2. Rethugs love their 1980 comparisons,
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 08:22 PM
Oct 2016

so here it goes, Trump is in Carter's place (note that this is not a personal comparison since Jimmy Carter has integrity and has done so many great things or this world) and HRC in Reagan's place. It seems to be in each respective case, the public is not happy with Carter/Trump. They are looking for a reason for rejection. Carter/Trump have a similar poll problem, their ceiling is in the low 40's. Reagan/HRC keep moving up and down. If things play out as they did in 80's, a last minute surge will occur for HRC allowing to win in a landslide. 10 points + is not impossible. 20 is sadly not going to happen, though it should.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
8. Zero chance of anything like this happening
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 09:43 PM
Oct 2016

It will be very close. There are states that HRC has no chance of winning. A 44 state landslide is no longer possible.

PATRICK

(12,228 posts)
3. It will be larger than that
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 08:25 PM
Oct 2016

simply because the electorate is in large numbers disgruntled one way or another. But not totally stupid. If a left winger can rationalize voting for Trump then they supplant the other morons on the right as champions of that perverted thinking.

Anything else will be fraud.

Chasing Dreams

(415 posts)
4. It could be a LANDSLIDE
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 08:36 PM
Oct 2016

We are already up by 3 to 5%, and the bottom is falling out of the trump campaign. And I'm not worried about an October Surprise. Every day brings another unbelievable, negative Trump revelation.

We'll be up 5 to 7% by election day. Yes, the indies and many moderate republicans stay home, or come our way in the end as Clinton races to an 8 to 10% victory, a Democratic Senate, and a much closer house than anyone thinks will happen.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
6. We have seen a surge since the last debate...and no reason to think
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 08:44 PM
Oct 2016

Hillarys lead won't grow...trump not attracting new voters...his junkyard dog style doesn't resonate with white educated female voters

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
7. Just talked politics with a good friend
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 09:07 PM
Oct 2016

We live several hundred miles apart so only see each other once every 2-3 months or so. Last July he was a Trump guy. So we stopped talking politics and kept it on football, fishing and hunting.

Saw him last week. He is voting for Hillary.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
10. Agree, also superior ground game and political expertise
Sun Oct 2, 2016, 10:16 PM
Oct 2016

matters in those final hours.

Team H/Dems just need to follow through with the gameplan, not take anything for granted, keep up the pressure.

There will be rocky points (Trump won't go down without unloading any/all dirt he has, Wikileaks, etc.) between now and election day, but as long as Dems stand strong and deal with it properly, H will be madame president.

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