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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 01:56 PM Oct 2016

New Illinois Poll: HRC leads by 25 points & Duckworth leads by 14 for Senate

I think pretty soon, like Wisconsin, the GOP will pull out of the Illinois Senate race, too:

Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by an overwhelming 53 percent to 28 percent margin among likely voters in the 2016 race for president in Illinois, according to a new poll by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale.

Libertarian Gary Johnson garnered 5 percent and the Green Party candidate, Jill Stein, received 2 percent support. Nine percent said they remained undecided at this point.

The poll was conducted in the week after the first debate starting on Tuesday, September 27 and ending on Sunday, October 2. The sample included 1,000 registered voters, 865 of whom said they were likely voters. The likely voter sample has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.

The poll also showed:

*Republican Senator Mark Kirk trailing his challenger, Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Duckworth. This race showed Duckworth with a lead of 48 percent to Kirk’s 34 percent among likely voters. The Libertarian candidate, Kent McMillen, received the support of 3 percent of the respondents while 2 percent said they would vote for the Green Party candidate, Scott Summers, and 10 percent remained undecided.

The poll showed Clinton winning by 67 percent to Trump’s 19 percent in the City of Chicago where Democratic candidates usually do well while Trump is more competitive downstate where the candidates are essentially tied (Trump 40 percent to Clinton’s 39 percent). Suburban Cook and the collar counties are where the balance of power resides in Illinois and Clinton is winning there by about 30 percentage points (Clinton 56 percent to Trump 25 percent).

In the U.S. Senate race, the geographic breakdown is 61 percent for Duckworth in the city of Chicago to 26 percent for Kirk. In suburban Cook and the collar counties, 51 percent plan to vote for Duckworth compared to 31 percent for Kirk. Downstate Kirk is winning with 44 percent compared to Duckworth’s 36 percent.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Simon-SIU_Poll_Sept_2016.pdf

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New Illinois Poll: HRC leads by 25 points & Duckworth leads by 14 for Senate (Original Post) book_worm Oct 2016 OP
As a Vet... Wounded Bear Oct 2016 #1
The Chicago metro area makes up nearly 2/3 of the population of Illinois VMA131Marine Oct 2016 #2
Illinois won't have don the con or Kirk the jerk. . beachbum bob Oct 2016 #3
25 points in Illinois is Obama level bluestateguy Oct 2016 #4
Actually it is better than Obama in 2012--he won IL by 17 points book_worm Oct 2016 #6
Outstanding! MineralMan Oct 2016 #5
Excellent Numbers! sheshe2 Oct 2016 #7
Only 14? ChairmanAgnostic Oct 2016 #8
I was raised in Illinois MFM008 Oct 2016 #9
The RNC may pull out but MistakenLamb Oct 2016 #10
so far, Kirk is refusing to meet Duckworth in Chicago for some sort of townhall/debate deal. only Gabi Hayes Oct 2016 #11
Hmm, interesting. book_worm Oct 2016 #13
Excellent!!! ailsagirl Oct 2016 #12
I actually talked to person running Duckworth effort out where I am tonight MistakenLamb Oct 2016 #14
I knew HRC had this, but I am so pleased for Ms. Duckworth. BigDemVoter Oct 2016 #15

Wounded Bear

(58,765 posts)
1. As a Vet...
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 02:03 PM
Oct 2016

I wholeheartedly love Ms Duckworth and love that she will move up to the Senate. She gets it in ways Trumplodytes could never do.

Sounds good.

VMA131Marine

(4,159 posts)
2. The Chicago metro area makes up nearly 2/3 of the population of Illinois
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 02:06 PM
Oct 2016

Population of Illinois: 12.85 million
Population of the Chicago metro area: 8.0 million

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
8. Only 14?
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 02:26 PM
Oct 2016

That's a surprise that Capr. Kirk's enterprise is doing so well, even when his engines can't take anymore.

MistakenLamb

(546 posts)
10. The RNC may pull out but
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 02:28 PM
Oct 2016

Kirk still has a PAC working for him, I don't doubt a Duckworth but I am volunteering for the campaign in the west burbs as much as possible to ensure a win.

 

Gabi Hayes

(28,795 posts)
11. so far, Kirk is refusing to meet Duckworth in Chicago for some sort of townhall/debate deal. only
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 03:17 PM
Oct 2016

downstate.....that's what I heard on the radio

great news!

Kirk is a real lying POS, especially about his military record

MistakenLamb

(546 posts)
14. I actually talked to person running Duckworth effort out where I am tonight
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 08:45 PM
Oct 2016

they said its expected to be much closer than that. Hillary will definitely win here but they expect this race to be neck and neck

BigDemVoter

(4,158 posts)
15. I knew HRC had this, but I am so pleased for Ms. Duckworth.
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 08:48 PM
Oct 2016

Tammy Duckworth will be positively OUTSTANDING.

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