2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Illinois Poll: HRC leads by 25 points & Duckworth leads by 14 for Senate
I think pretty soon, like Wisconsin, the GOP will pull out of the Illinois Senate race, too:
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by an overwhelming 53 percent to 28 percent margin among likely voters in the 2016 race for president in Illinois, according to a new poll by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale.
Libertarian Gary Johnson garnered 5 percent and the Green Party candidate, Jill Stein, received 2 percent support. Nine percent said they remained undecided at this point.
The poll was conducted in the week after the first debate starting on Tuesday, September 27 and ending on Sunday, October 2. The sample included 1,000 registered voters, 865 of whom said they were likely voters. The likely voter sample has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
The poll also showed:
*Republican Senator Mark Kirk trailing his challenger, Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Duckworth. This race showed Duckworth with a lead of 48 percent to Kirks 34 percent among likely voters. The Libertarian candidate, Kent McMillen, received the support of 3 percent of the respondents while 2 percent said they would vote for the Green Party candidate, Scott Summers, and 10 percent remained undecided.
The poll showed Clinton winning by 67 percent to Trumps 19 percent in the City of Chicago where Democratic candidates usually do well while Trump is more competitive downstate where the candidates are essentially tied (Trump 40 percent to Clintons 39 percent). Suburban Cook and the collar counties are where the balance of power resides in Illinois and Clinton is winning there by about 30 percentage points (Clinton 56 percent to Trump 25 percent).
In the U.S. Senate race, the geographic breakdown is 61 percent for Duckworth in the city of Chicago to 26 percent for Kirk. In suburban Cook and the collar counties, 51 percent plan to vote for Duckworth compared to 31 percent for Kirk. Downstate Kirk is winning with 44 percent compared to Duckworths 36 percent.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Simon-SIU_Poll_Sept_2016.pdf
Wounded Bear
(58,765 posts)I wholeheartedly love Ms Duckworth and love that she will move up to the Senate. She gets it in ways Trumplodytes could never do.
Sounds good.
VMA131Marine
(4,159 posts)Population of Illinois: 12.85 million
Population of the Chicago metro area: 8.0 million
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)Good sign.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)but he did win by 25 in 2008.
MineralMan
(146,345 posts)sheshe2
(83,996 posts)ChairmanAgnostic
(28,017 posts)That's a surprise that Capr. Kirk's enterprise is doing so well, even when his engines can't take anymore.
MFM008
(19,827 posts)I knew it wouldn't disappoint.
MistakenLamb
(546 posts)Kirk still has a PAC working for him, I don't doubt a Duckworth but I am volunteering for the campaign in the west burbs as much as possible to ensure a win.
Gabi Hayes
(28,795 posts)downstate.....that's what I heard on the radio
great news!
Kirk is a real lying POS, especially about his military record
book_worm
(15,951 posts)ailsagirl
(22,902 posts)MistakenLamb
(546 posts)they said its expected to be much closer than that. Hillary will definitely win here but they expect this race to be neck and neck
BigDemVoter
(4,158 posts)Tammy Duckworth will be positively OUTSTANDING.