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***HRC +13 head to head in latest national Reuters poll!!!*** (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP
Trump at 32%!!! Wow. nt aaaaaa5a Oct 2016 #1
Gotta be an outlier Loki Liesmith Oct 2016 #2
I hope it is not gabeana Oct 2016 #27
yep, this is what we want to see 0rganism Oct 2016 #3
Outlier, this kind of difference does not exists in current state of nation MyNameIsKhan Oct 2016 #5
didn't say it was real, just that it's what we want (imho) 0rganism Oct 2016 #11
really? MFM008 Oct 2016 #30
Trump is finished. The_Casual_Observer Oct 2016 #4
Will he skip the 3rd? SaschaHM Oct 2016 #7
Wow Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #6
Outlier I think... Adrahil Oct 2016 #8
That's how I look at it. Charles Bukowski Oct 2016 #12
Good! Dem2 Oct 2016 #9
On Sept 28 this poll had HRC +6 Cattledog Oct 2016 #10
Well there goes the horserace then. MTP host failed. ffr Oct 2016 #13
I'll take it!!! oasis Oct 2016 #14
When I click the link, I see a 6 point lead Dem2 Oct 2016 #15
I know what it is. It's the betting markets. They know Kaine's going to spill the beans ffr Oct 2016 #16
Lmao sorry Don! ram2008 Oct 2016 #17
This is the entire population.. 7% for likely voters, 9% for registered voters. Mass Oct 2016 #18
Noted the 4 way poll triron Oct 2016 #21
Scroll down to the bottom of the page, where it says 100%. Click on the link to "political.' pnwmom Oct 2016 #24
OK thanks triron Oct 2016 #29
This is unfiltered. Likely voters screen cuts these figures in half Chasing Dreams Oct 2016 #19
Wow! BainsBane Oct 2016 #20
Oh snap! Outlier but still..lol Nt helpisontheway Oct 2016 #22
I'd love this to be the case vdogg Oct 2016 #23
Outlier Schmoutlier Jim Dandy Oct 2016 #25
Looks like Trump fell through a trap door C_U_L8R Oct 2016 #26
Where is the 4 way? I see Hillary 39% Trump 33% n/t SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2016 #28
I'll take those numbers. Warren DeMontague Oct 2016 #31
Here is the link for 4-way triron Oct 2016 #32
It is astounding that of those who voted for Mitt Romney Doodley Oct 2016 #33

0rganism

(23,944 posts)
3. yep, this is what we want to see
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 05:29 PM
Oct 2016

a margin like that is going to open things up for down-ticket races, bigly
more importantly, it would show the world that mainstream America rejects tRump's shitty message

0rganism

(23,944 posts)
11. didn't say it was real, just that it's what we want (imho)
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 05:44 PM
Oct 2016

if we want to convince the rest of the world that we're still worth visiting, the margin has to be greater than 5%.
if we want to retake the senate and a few state legislatures, >7% would really help.
if we want to show the world that we're not a nation of heartless xenophobic pricks, >10% or it's a wash.

sure it's an outlier viz where we are now, i'm just hopeful that it's a prophetic one.

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)
7. Will he skip the 3rd?
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 05:32 PM
Oct 2016

It is Chris Wallace after all. I wouldn't put it past him to try and trip Hillary up so Trump can (maybe) stand a chance.

ffr

(22,669 posts)
16. I know what it is. It's the betting markets. They know Kaine's going to spill the beans
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 05:50 PM
Oct 2016

about Donald, which will broaden the coverage of all the shitstorm that's been building.

Come on GA & AZ!!! You're almost there. Get your friends and family registered. We're in the home stretch with 35 days to go.

ram2008

(1,238 posts)
17. Lmao sorry Don!
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 05:50 PM
Oct 2016

Looks like Cheeto Jesus and his basket of deplorable supporters will be in for a rude awakening come Election Day.

Mass

(27,315 posts)
18. This is the entire population.. 7% for likely voters, 9% for registered voters.
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 05:52 PM
Oct 2016

Also not 4 ways. Only two names given are Trump and Clinton, but an option for others is given,

Still very good for her.

triron

(22,000 posts)
21. Noted the 4 way poll
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 06:23 PM
Oct 2016

was +12. Where do you find the subsets of RVs and LVs. I am unable to get there. Just naively assumed Reuters only include voters.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
24. Scroll down to the bottom of the page, where it says 100%. Click on the link to "political.'
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 06:57 PM
Oct 2016

Then scroll down till you can select "general election likely voter."

That will give you a subset of the 100% that is considered to be likely voters.

triron

(22,000 posts)
29. OK thanks
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 07:06 PM
Oct 2016

When I use the RV filter I obtain the same advantage for HRC (+13 rounded 12.5 to nearest .1%). I do obtain about a +7 with the LV filter.

Chasing Dreams

(415 posts)
19. This is unfiltered. Likely voters screen cuts these figures in half
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 06:21 PM
Oct 2016

+7 two way
+6 four way

still great results, and the 6 point four way lead is in line with several other polls the last couple of days.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
23. I'd love this to be the case
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 06:53 PM
Oct 2016

But this poll is not the poll Reuters releases that is used by 538 etc. It can be very confusing because depending on how you adjust the range and filtering you will get a highly variable result.

Doodley

(9,088 posts)
33. It is astounding that of those who voted for Mitt Romney
Tue Oct 4, 2016, 07:30 PM
Oct 2016

49 percent choose Hillary Clinton and 37 percent choose Trump.

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