2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Florida Poll: HRC +7 in 2-way race +3 4-way race
Jacksonville, Fla. A new poll of likely voters in Florida by the Public Opinion Research
Laboratory (PORL) at the University of North Florida, shows that 47 percent of respondents
would vote for Clinton over Trump (40 percent) if the election with just those two candidates
were held today. In a four candidate contest with Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Gary
Johnson and Jill Stein Clinton still prevailed with 41 percent, Trump followed with 38 percent,
Johnson garnered 6 percent and Stein finished fourth with 3 percent with 10 percent still
undecided.
Clinton has gotten a bounce after her strong debate performance last week, it will be fascinating
to see how this plays out after the second debate on Sunday, said Dr. Michael Binder, Faculty
Director of the Public Opinion Research Laboratory.
The size of Clintons lead drops when the additional candidates (Johnson and Stein) are listed in
the question. This suggests that the Clinton campaign should perhaps perceive Johnson as a
threat, who is taking more votes from her than Trump, said Dr. Binder.
http://www.politico.com/states/f/?id=00000157-967b-de60-a3ff-fe7b11760001
Wounded Bear
(58,743 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)That means that she should get more votes on election day since 3rd party candidates rarely achieve their poll numbers when the votes are counted.
K & R
progressoid
(50,000 posts)Johnson seems to be a bigger issue.
But it will likely not matter in the long run.