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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***New NH poll HRC +2***
Surprising given the other state polls lately. Anyone know anything about this pollster?
Seemed like they over sampled republicans but not familiar with that state.
Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Sufolk_FINAL_NH_Marginals.pdf
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***New NH poll HRC +2*** (Original Post)
triron
Oct 2016
OP
dsc
(52,172 posts)1. who is the pollster?
SCliberal91294
(170 posts)2. Suffolk
They are usually pretty good. But can be off at times. I think we are up at least 5 in NH
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)3. Real Clear Politics differs from their result.
RCP Average 9/6 - 10/5 -- -- 45.0 39.8 Clinton +5.2
Boston Globe/Suffolk* 10/3 - 10/5 500 LV 4.4 44 42 Clinton +2
WBUR/MassINC 9/27 - 9/29 502 LV 4.4 47 38 Clinton +9
Monmouth* 9/17 - 9/20 400 LV 4.9 47 38 Clinton +9
NBC/WSJ/Marist 9/6 - 9/8 737 LV 3.6 42 41 Clinton +1
All New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_trump_vs_clinton-5596.html
MFM008
(19,834 posts)4. I thought
A couple days ago she was up double digits???
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)5. Average the poll numbers
how many times does one have to say this?
Mass
(27,315 posts)6. One of the best pollsters in MA. Unequal elsewhere.
But people should not consider polls individually.
Funtatlaguy
(10,893 posts)7. Hope that's an outlier...if not,
No way Hassan takes Ayottes Senate seat.
pnwmom
(109,024 posts)8. Their sample might be skewing to the right -- they ended up with more independents
than anyone else, then GOP, then Dems.
According to this Gallup poll from 2 years ago, 43% are Dems or lean Dem, and 41% GOP.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/178805/state-new-hampshire-politically-flux.aspx
I think the poll was skewed right.