Tied race in Utah between HRC & Trump with McMullin coming in strong (new poll)

[book_worm]

SALT LAKE CITY — Republican Donald Trump appears to have, in his earlier words, "a tremendous problem in Utah" as a new poll shows him slipping into a dead heat with Democrat Hillary Clinton since crude comments he made about women surfaced last weekend.

And along with the billionaire businessman's sudden fall, independent candidate and BYU graduate Evan McMullin surged into a statistical tie with the two major party presidential nominees, according to survey conducted Monday and Tuesday by Salt Lake City-based Y2 Analytics.

"A third-party candidate could win Utah as Utahns settle on one," said Quin Monson, Y2 Analytics founding partner.

McMullin may well have caught lightning in a bottle.

The poll shows Clinton and Trump tied at 26 percent, McMullin with 22 percent and Libertarian Gary Johnson getting 14 percent if the election were held today. Y2 Analytics surveyed 500 likely Utah voters over landlines and cellphones Oct. 10-11 The poll has a plus or minus 4.4 percent margin of error.

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865664606/Poll-Trump-falls-into-tie-with-Clinton-among-Utah-voters.html?pg=all

[underpants]

1. McMullin that explains a lot

BYU's own

[JCMach1]

4. Rational AND MORAL

So yeah, everything Republicans aren't at the moment, but Mormons work hard on...

[underpants]

6. :-)

Hard on

[JCMach1]

7. Well, they do have a lot of kids...

[Portland_Anni]

2. Mormons are people not very tolerant of sexual preditors like Trump.

I was in a Special Forces unit in the Utah National Guard and learned to respect their love of family even if their faith was not my cuppa tea.

[whatthehey]

3. For those panicking about splits and 3rd parties causing EV mischief

This is what it actually looks like - GOOD for Democrats. HRC is polling about the same as Obama in UT. The split is all the opposing side picking which RWer they like best. I've lost count of the number of ill-informed posts here I've seen thinking a split R ticket could mean nobody hits 270 or some such rubbish. It actually means Dems have a chance at getting otherwise unimaginable EVs, with UT being the most unimaginable of all in most elections.

I don't know how good this poll is and I'll be surprised if UT goes Dem. It does have an equally small chance of going 3rd party as well though. Hard to say, but the point is it's normally a guaranteed R win that's painted red on the election shows the second the polls close. Any change in that at all can only help Dems.

Split parties and stronger than usual 3rd party shows only hurt the party that is dividing. For once, that's them.

[kwolf68]

5. NOT A FAN of Mormons

But I gotta respect them sticking to their principles. The evangelical fundies could learn a thing or two.