Detroit News: HRC Opens 12-point lead in Michigan

[book_worm]

Donald Trump’s support in Michigan is showing signs of collapse as Democrat Hillary Clinton widens her lead to nearly 12 percentage points in a new statewide poll released to The Detroit News and WDIV.

Clinton led Trump 42.2 percent to 30.6 percent in a four-way poll of 600 likely state voters conducted after the second debate Sunday night. It followed last weekend’s GOP crisis over a decade-old recording of Trump making sexually aggressive comments about women.

When likely voters were asked whether they were likely to vote Democratic or Republican for Congress, women polled said Democratic by a 19-point margin. Among all voters, Democrats had a 7-point margin, a result that Czuba said suggests concerns for Republicans down the ballot.

Among all women, Clinton holds a nearly 2-to-1 advantage, 48 percent to Trump’s 24.6 percent, a historically low amount of support from female voters, he said.

“Donald Trump is making it increasingly difficult for women to consider themselves Republican,” Czuba said. “And that’s what I think is going to play down the ballot.”

Clinton’s lead over Trump is expanding, but it is not because she’s gaining any new support since a Sept. 27-28 poll commissioned by The Detroit News and WDIV-TV found her leading Trump 42 percent to 35 percent after the first debate.

“She’s not adding voters,” Czuba said. “But the problem for Republicans is their candidate is losing voters.”

http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/12/presidential-poll-michigan/91964392/

[BlueProgressive]

1. So much for 'swing state' status, as Michigan will be voting Democratic

for the seventh time in a row in the presidential race.

Really, Michigan hasn't gone Republican for President-- in a year when the GOP did NOT win in a landslide--- since 1976, and that year the home-boy Gerald Ford was running, so that's also something of an aberration. (The GOP won Michigan in national landslides in 1980, 1984 and 1988, so I don't consider those elections representative of what Michigan does in a competitive race.)

Thanks for the new poll!

[Tarheel_Dem]

2. Fingers crossed that this lasts through election day. n/t