The best poll analysis side is NY Times/Upshot

[WillyBrandt]

If you haven't checked it out, NYT has the best polling site. They have their own in-house methodology, they show you what all the major predictors are showing, and have interactive tools to let you test out different scenarios.

The short version is that probability estimates -- using rather different predictive methodologies -- vary between 86% and 98%.

If you'd told us 18 months ago that that's how the Democratic candidates would have stood... well, we'd have been delighted. Let's not let the ugliness obscure the bigger picture.

Still -- donate, vote!

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fupshot&action=click&contentCollection=upshot&region=rank&module=package&version=highlights&contentPlacement=2&pgtype=sectionfront

[Hortensis]

1. Yes, a majority are rejecting the evil Trump represents.

We're unhappy because it's not a huge majority, but we are most Americans.

[Cakes488]

2. I donated another 5 bucks yesterday....and I have never donated to a political candidate in my life.

I'm up to like 40$ in donations...I was so disgusted with Trashpots speech I called 5 voters in swing states.

We just have to be patient...keep our eyes on the prize...he will fall and his empire will crumble too.

[upaloopa]

3. I'm remembering the "Hillary can't beat Trump" meme from the primary days.

[WillyBrandt]

4. Don't re-fight the primary

Hey - you and I are 100% on the same side here re primary stuff, I think, but:

- Let the GOP be dis-unified; Dems are together
- Bernie himself has been a total mensch since conceding -- really good
- Nearly all his supporters have united behind Hillary

So -- focus on hurting Trump, helping Hillary.

We can pick apart the primary again after the election as an exercise, but not before -- just a few more weeks

[upaloopa]

5. There is no one to fight with. I am not going to pretend it didn't happen.

I don't intend to refight the primary. But we all should remember how low we all can go.