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ffr

(22,671 posts)
Tue Oct 25, 2016, 02:27 AM Oct 2016

#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 3rd day. Dems lead by > 23,500 EV, voting nearly 5 to 3 over Reps

11:15 PM PST Hillary For America delivered a monster blow for the third day in a row. HRC has a net lead of ~23,601 EV after three days of heavy voter turnout, including red counties now being recorded.

No other news source has these numbers until probably Tuesday morning. I've compiled them on my own from the various elections offices.
Democratic GOTV surges FORWARD TOGETHER.

Statewide EV (polls & absentee)
Total: 161,307
Dems: 78,039
Reps: 54,438
Other: 28,830

Percentages
Dems: 48.4%
Reps: 33.7%
Other: 17.9%

Nevada SoS PDF <here>
Washoe County & Clark County elections results also included.


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#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 3rd day. Dems lead by > 23,500 EV, voting nearly 5 to 3 over Reps (Original Post) ffr Oct 2016 OP
Jon Ralston 10/25/16 AM update including (red rural Nevada) Dems > 21,900 ffr Oct 2016 #1

ffr

(22,671 posts)
1. Jon Ralston 10/25/16 AM update including (red rural Nevada) Dems > 21,900
Tue Oct 25, 2016, 11:25 AM
Oct 2016
UPDATED, 10/25/16, 6:30 AM

The secretary of state's office numbers show Democrats building on their lead. It's now just under 22,000 statewide, or 47 percent to 34 percent. That 13 points is 7 points above the actual registration difference,

The urban counties again went big for the Democrats.

Clark had another big turnout day -- 34,000 voters -- and Democrats have almost a 24,000 raw vote lead, including mail ballots. That's 50 percent to 31 percent, or 5 percent above what the registration edge is, a slight improvement for Republicans over the first two days. This is very close to what the edge was in 2012 after three days (52-32) and the 5,000-voter edge on day 3 is nearly identical to Day 3 in 2012.

2012 comparison on Day 3, with percentage turnouts relative to registration, with Democrats adding 5,000 to firewall:

Total 34,603 (3.40%) // 2012 total 30,589 (3.59%)
Dem 16,262 (3.71%) // 2012 Dem 16,853 (3.84%)
Rep 11,437 (3.86%) // 2012 Rep 11,540 (3.89%)

In Washoe, Democrats had an 800-voter edge on Monday, bringing the total with mail (where the GOP has a 600-ballot lead, to about 3,000 votes. Republicans have a 4,000-vote registration edge in Washoe.

The rurals have turned out 18,000 voters, and Republicans have a 4,600-vote lead.

Total turnout so far is 170,825 voters, or about 12 percent. Democrats are at 14 percent of registration and Republicans are at 12 percent of theirs.

New SoS preliminary numbers from the 10/24/16

Statewide EV (polls & absentee)
Total: 170,825
Dems: 80,346
Reps: 58,435
Other: 32,044

Percentages
Dems: 47.0%
Reps: 34.2%
Other: 18.8%



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