Florida spirals away from Trump

[brooklynite]

Politico:

From polling to early voting trends to TV ad spending to ground game, Donald Trump’s Florida fortunes are beginning to look so bleak that some Republicans are steeling themselves for what could be the equivalent of a “landslide” loss in the nation’s biggest battleground state.

Trump has trailed Hillary Clinton in 10 of the 11 public polls conducted in October — according to POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average, Clinton has a 3.4 point lead. Even private surveys conducted by Republican-leaning groups show Trump’s in trouble in Florida, where a loss would end his White House hopes.

“On the presidential race we’ve found Clinton with a consistent 3% - 5% lead in surveys that attempt to reflect Florida’s actual electorate,” Ryan D. Tyson, vice president of political operations for the Associated Industries of Florida business group wrote in a confidential memo emailed to his conservative-leaning members this weekend and obtained by POLITICO.

Though Clinton’s lead is “within the margin of error for this survey, we would suggest that 3% really isn’t as close as it may seem in the state of Florida,” Tyson wrote, estimating a turnout of as much as 71 percent, or as many as 9.2 million Florida voters overall. If that happens and the polling margins hold, Clinton’s raw vote lead over Trump could end up being 275,000 to 460,000 votes.

And today, Trump is spending his Florida time...promoting his Doral Hotel.

[Thinkingabout]

1. This is good news, I can only guess the eleventh poll is in Trumps mind.

It will be good to see good results in the final count.GOTV.

[msanthrope]

2. Well. He could not depend on mad floridians who don't grasp math. mt

[underpants]

3. Pennsylvania is still the key to me

He needs to run the table on the swing states but if PA gets called for Hillary its over. If he can't sell his message in PA he can't sell it anywhere else.

[marybourg]

4. He has the perfect trumpian response

to those polls: I don't believe them. They're rigged.

[ffr]

5. He's already moving past the election and looking at his first 100 days in seclusion.

Here's one more vote against you Donald! Me!