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ffr

(22,669 posts)
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 01:07 AM Oct 2016

#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 5TH day. Dems lead by > 25,500 EV, 45% to 36%

10:00 PM PST Hillary For America added at least 2,000 EV to her NV firewalll. Washoe County Dems are keeping pace with all other state county tallies, winning by 45. As of this moment, HRC has a net lead of ~26,503 EV after five days of heavy voter turnout.

No other news source has these numbers. When the SoS reports statewide figures tomorrow, the total EV lead should close to what is listed in the title, if not more.

Democratic GOTV surges FORWARD TOGETHER.

Statewide EV (polls & absentee)
Total: 279,035
Dems: 126,101
Reps: 99,598
Other: 53,336

Percentages
Dems: 45.2%
Reps: 35.7%
Other: 19.1%

Nevada SoS PDF <here>
Washoe County & Clark County elections results also included.


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#NVGOTV in Nevada (NV) 5TH day. Dems lead by > 25,500 EV, 45% to 36% (Original Post) ffr Oct 2016 OP
Makes me happy... MyNameIsKhan Oct 2016 #1
Another number that will make you happy. NV's largest two counties, Washoe & Clark added 4,495 ffr Oct 2016 #2
2012 GE EV results for comparison ffr Oct 2016 #3
But who are OTHERS voting for? titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #4
Probably writing in Reagan? BSdetect Oct 2016 #5
Ha! Maybe... titaniumsalute Oct 2016 #6
It's not clear. In 2012, polling showed how IAPs/Other broke. This election, nothing. ffr Oct 2016 #7
K & R Coyotl Oct 2016 #8

ffr

(22,669 posts)
2. Another number that will make you happy. NV's largest two counties, Washoe & Clark added 4,495
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 02:22 AM
Oct 2016

to the Democratic vote count lead.

4,440 in Clark
45 in Washoe

ffr

(22,669 posts)
3. 2012 GE EV results for comparison
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 02:31 AM
Oct 2016

EV lead then was 22,557. So as of tonight, 4,000 votes ahead of 2012, which is 17% ahead.

Day 5 10:45 PM EST 10/25/12 Update, 21% of registered voters
Democrats-- 122,451, or 45.8% percent (Dems to Reps only: 55.1%)
Republicans --99,894, or 37.3 percent (Dems to Reps only: 44.9%)
IAPs -- 45,242, or 16.9%

Day 5 totals from Nevada Sos PDF

Assuming Nevada IAPs support based on polls of 53/44 in favor of Romney and splitting remaining undecided 3% 56/44 respectively, the numbers above would reflect:

Dems: 142.955, or 53.4%
Reps: 124.632, or 46.6%
This may be something closer to a conservative estimate of realistic results.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251175415

ffr

(22,669 posts)
7. It's not clear. In 2012, polling showed how IAPs/Other broke. This election, nothing.
Thu Oct 27, 2016, 11:29 AM
Oct 2016

I can say first hand however, that Latinos often registered NP/IAP for whatever reason. So probably 40 - 50 percent of them would fit into that category.

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