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2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,001 posts) Sat Oct 29, 2016, 12:09 AM Oct 2016

Upshot still at 92%

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6 replies

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Upshot still at 92% (Original Post) triron Oct 2016 OP

Got it Kennah Oct 2016 #1

thanks triron Oct 2016 #3

would the upshot be reflective of the volitility of todays news? Tom Rivers Oct 2016 #2

Yes, it's just polls… regnaD kciN Oct 2016 #4

sorry to disappoint you Skittles Oct 2016 #5

Kennah

(14,261 posts)

1. Got it

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 12:24 AM

Oct 2016

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0

triron

(22,001 posts)

3. thanks

Reply to Kennah (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 12:30 AM

Oct 2016

Tom Rivers

(459 posts)

2. would the upshot be reflective of the volitility of todays news?

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 12:28 AM

Oct 2016

or does it just look at polling data?

like would it show how people reacted when the email news broke vs. the reaction when they found out oh it's just weiner? similar to the betting markets?

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

4. Yes, it's just polls…

Reply to Tom Rivers (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 12:44 AM

Oct 2016

…and, as of Saturday (EDT) it's now 91%.

It's like 538, PEC, and the others. Nothing is factored in unless reflected in poll results. And we won't really know the effect of this until polls taken entirely after Friday are released -- which likely won't be until Wednesday or Thursday.

Skittles

(153,160 posts)

5. sorry to disappoint you

Reply to Tom Rivers (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 29, 2016, 12:57 AM

Oct 2016

but it's just another crap issue

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