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(15,438 posts)
1. Not when it comes to us electing Hillary Clinton, no. MAYBE it MIGHT affect down-ballot races,
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:27 PM
Oct 2016

though, although I vote "No" in your poll.

His DSB!


(37,428 posts)
4. Insofar as it peels off a few votes or lowers enthusiasm...
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:33 PM
Oct 2016

...or drives a few more Republicans to the polls, it will succeed. And that's all they required of him.

The modern GOP has never relied on just one strategy. Ten thousand scales, each with a different thumb on it--that's how they rule from the minority.


(7,963 posts)
5. No. This will not change the outcome in ALL the battleground states.
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:36 PM
Oct 2016

And, I believe that is what it will take for cheeto to win...


(24,214 posts)
6. it will cut into her margin by a point or so
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:38 PM
Oct 2016

overall, i don't think it's going to change much
people who are inclined to blame this on HRC (or even Huma Abedin) weren't inclined to vote for her in the first place; some of them may have been further energized by the story, and will now be more likely to show up as "Likely Voters" in poll-based models.
people who are inclined to overlook the email thing to vote for HRC are going to look at this new stuff as "more of the same" at worst.
people who are firmly in Hillary's camp already will just be angered and annoyed by Comey's quasi-partisan bullshit.

this is, at most, a marginal change around the edges, unlikely to affect the outcome. unless the "new" emails contain some admission of torte by HRC along the lines of a confession to killing Vince Foster, it will quickly fade from the public eye much to the disappointment of the trumpster divers.


(309 posts)
9. I don't think it will affect the overall outcome of the Presidential.
Mon Oct 31, 2016, 05:19 PM
Oct 2016

However, I am a little concerned with how it may influence the down ballot races. I don't want to re-live the Repub. obstructionism of the last 8 years. We NEED one of the houses. Hopefully, as the shock wears off, people will see the whole picture and refuse to be manipulated.

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