ABC Tracker Trump leading Hillary with +1: 46 % -Trump, 45 %-Clinton, 3-J, 2-S. Within the MOE

[factfinder_77]

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-leads-clinton-point-poll-enthusiasm-declines/story?id=43199459

[mahina]

6. I do not

Nor do many DUers who supported Bernie in the primary and now support Hillary Clinton, our next President of the United States.

I'm very sure your post is against the rules by the way. You may not realize that.

Aloha.

[TrekLuver]

2. I saw this poll on Good Morning America they said it came out overnight.

[vdogg]

3. This poll is bullshit

It's been completely out of step with every single poll since the beginning. From a 12 point lead to a 1 point deficit in a week? Fucking please.

[vdogg]

4. And then you have this

Although the election is close at this point, vote preference results a week out are not necessarily predictive of the final result. Mitt Romney was +1 vs. Barack Obama in comparable tracking poll results in 2012, for example, and John Kerry was +1 vs. George Bush a week out in 2004.

[Demsrule86]

5. Really? Another negative posts...

Do you really believe this helps your cause?


http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512566644#post33

[MadBadger]

12. I don't see how burying our heads in the sand help

[helpisontheway]

8. I think I remember reading that they changed they recently changed their methodology. nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. "ABC Tracker Trump leading Hillary with +1: 46 % -Trump, 45 %-Clinton, 3-J, 2-S. Within the MOE"

"ABC Tracker Trump leading Hillary with +1: 46 % -Trump, 45 %-Clinton, 3-J, 2-S. Within the MOE"


That is incorrect, sir or madame:


Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton.Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them.Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.


Oh, if you're looking for nuggets or minutiae:


• In blue states (with 278 electoral votes), Clinton leads 54-37 percent.

P.S. Every poll is a data point.

[bigdarryl]

10. I LOVE!! this poll and hears why

It's the 3rd party key stupid:I follow the Lichtman rule of thumb which is if a 3rd party candidate gets 5% or more of the popular vote on election day it goes against the party in power.Right now Allan Lichtman is saying if Johnson gets 5% or more that key would be number 6 for the party in power which means the democrats are DONE for as winning the WH 2016. He also said the key could possibly flip back to the party in party resulting in only 5 keys down which they will retain the WH. So like everybody else who's freaking out about this poll I'M NOT!!!

[duffyduff]

17. Nobody is going to vote for that dingbat Johnson in any great quantities.

More people will leave the presidential selection blank than vote for that dipshit. Ditto for Jill Stein.

[brush]

13. I see you're at it again with your bullshit negative posts. DU is too wise for this. Try a . . .

more gullible audience for you misleading crap.

[roamer65]

14. National polls are worthless.

We elect a president by states, not popular vote.

[Joe941]

15. Don't worry about the outlier polls like this one.

[Johnny2X2X]

18. Crazy

I am usually sunshine and rainbows, but this feels an awful lot like when Hillary fainted and the polls evened up. Work hard and vote.

NPR this morning was all emails on Diane Ream.

[andym]

19. A closer election means spending more time gotv

So close polls are helpful to actually motivating activists to do more.

[budkin]

21. I seriously don't understand how there was a 13 pt swing in this poll in a week

Something doesn't seem right.

[triron]

22. ???

Even Rasmussen has HRC +1