2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLets Be Honest, Hillary Is Going to Lose
Look at the evidence:
- Polls have been taken on this election for 1.5 years and Hillary has only been ahead for seriously 3 or 4 days in the averages that whole time. And even then, she was at a tie. Most of the time she has been down by 5-8 points.
-Currently we are down by about 6 points in the national average with 1 week to go
-Trump has a firewall of electoral votes that sits at over 270 that clinton hasnt been able to put a dent in
-Our best projection for us is at 538, which shows Clinton at around a 25% chance of winning but most other trusted experts have her odds way lower. Most show Hillary at 10% to even 1% or 2% chance of winning. The only reason we are that high at 538 is because of an almost false hope that all of the polls are way off. Seriously, when was the last time that happened? 1948?
-Trump is raising way more money than Clinton, has been running ads nonstop in swing states and has the largest ground game in U.S. history to target and turn out voters. Clintons organization is virtually nonexistent on the ground.
-Turn out in early voting in our must win states is anemic in democraric strong holds but surging in Republican areas. We are doing maybe slightly better than trump in 1 or 2 small swing states but the big prizes...its not even close.
Guys look, we put up a good fight but this election has never been close. We had a few brief glimpses of hope here and there but hillary couldnt even pull into a tie with trump at our best. He has consistently been beating us in the polls, beating us on the ground, and beating us in the airwaves.1 out of every 10 polls may show us down by 1 or even tied but the rest are telling us the same story that that we have heard all year. We are behind and often by a lot. Im sorry to say that whatever minimal hope we have of winning this thing is mostly imaginary.
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Suddenly things dont seem so doom and gloom, do they?
emulatorloo
(44,120 posts)Everybody GOTV!
hlthe2b
(102,236 posts)Especially knowing that SOME will never bother to read the post but simply absorb the "gloom and doom"....
Not meaning to be overly critical, but I think before we get a dozen copycat posts, some might take a pause to consider. ...
meadowlark5
(2,795 posts)I was expecting to see 2 posts and be highly suspicious of a Trump troll
I was shaking my head and saying, "what?" "WHAT?"
Sneaky.
yodermon
(6,143 posts)Rorey
(8,445 posts)And thanks for putting things into perspective.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)BlancheSplanchnik
(20,219 posts)Me too.
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Never mind.
demigoddess
(6,640 posts)yeah, really funny.
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)Great satire piece though.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)Dopers_Greed
(2,640 posts)Because there should be 0% chance of a Trump win, not 25%. Even the slightest possibility of him winning is unacceptable.
Nothing seems to sink this a-hole. He is gaining in the polls after...
His pathetic debate performances
Receiving few major endorsements
Caught on video bragging about sexual assault
Countless victims coming forward
Reports on the Russian connections
etc. etc. etc.
Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)Been hearing that on MSNBC this morning.
Augiedog
(2,545 posts)barbtries
(28,789 posts)if you find your post quoted all over the internet by republicans who believe every word of it.
one thing that really stuck with me about 2012 is that people i knew who watched fox for news actually believed that Romney was going to win.
mountain grammy
(26,620 posts)and my husband says, have faith in America like he does. OK, thanks, I feel better.
Divine Discontent
(21,056 posts)would be going crazy", type things, but you twisted it into an outright OP.
Yay, GJ!
Yes, we're still in the driver's seat, but he's gained some, and it's time to step on the gas!
okieinpain
(9,397 posts)BlueCaliDem
(15,438 posts)Freethinker65
(10,016 posts)muntrv
(14,505 posts)ismnotwasm
(41,976 posts)D23MIURG23
(2,850 posts)TrekLuver
(2,573 posts)lupinella
(365 posts)I needed this!
ThoughtCriminal
(14,047 posts)already a radioactive wasteland?
Maru Kitteh
(28,340 posts)Dr Hobbitstein
(6,568 posts)Good thing the jury was made up of rational people.