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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 12:56 PM Nov 2016

Lets Be Honest, Hillary Is Going to Lose

Look at the evidence:

- Polls have been taken on this election for 1.5 years and Hillary has only been ahead for seriously 3 or 4 days in the averages that whole time. And even then, she was at a tie. Most of the time she has been down by 5-8 points.

-Currently we are down by about 6 points in the national average with 1 week to go

-Trump has a firewall of electoral votes that sits at over 270 that clinton hasnt been able to put a dent in

-Our best projection for us is at 538, which shows Clinton at around a 25% chance of winning but most other trusted experts have her odds way lower. Most show Hillary at 10% to even 1% or 2% chance of winning. The only reason we are that high at 538 is because of an almost false hope that all of the polls are way off. Seriously, when was the last time that happened? 1948?

-Trump is raising way more money than Clinton, has been running ads nonstop in swing states and has the largest ground game in U.S. history to target and turn out voters. Clintons organization is virtually nonexistent on the ground.

-Turn out in early voting in our must win states is anemic in democraric strong holds but surging in Republican areas. We are doing maybe slightly better than trump in 1 or 2 small swing states but the big prizes...its not even close.


Guys look, we put up a good fight but this election has never been close. We had a few brief glimpses of hope here and there but hillary couldnt even pull into a tie with trump at our best. He has consistently been beating us in the polls, beating us on the ground, and beating us in the airwaves.1 out of every 10 polls may show us down by 1 or even tied but the rest are telling us the same story that that we have heard all year. We are behind and often by a lot. Im sorry to say that whatever minimal hope we have of winning this thing is mostly imaginary.



***This message brought to you by The Parallel Universe DU and The Be Greatful For What You Have Foundation***


Suddenly things dont seem so doom and gloom, do they?

39 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Lets Be Honest, Hillary Is Going to Lose (Original Post) Doctor Jack Nov 2016 OP
Lol, brilliant and witty. Gets the point across very well. THANKS! emulatorloo Nov 2016 #1
I can appreciate the point, but still hate seeing these subect lines when I pop in... hlthe2b Nov 2016 #2
I had to look to see how many posts you had! meadowlark5 Nov 2016 #3
well done. n/t yodermon Nov 2016 #4
Thanks for the chuckle Rorey Nov 2016 #6
:) It's who controls Congress that's causing my clutch, tho. Hortensis Nov 2016 #7
yes. BlancheSplanchnik Nov 2016 #38
Don't peddle right-wing talking points ..... Coyotl Nov 2016 #8
Umm.... Separation Nov 2016 #9
i nearly had a heart attack reading your headline. demigoddess Nov 2016 #16
LOL. Me too! Had my "WTF" meter pegging out there for a couple seconds. Amimnoch Nov 2016 #30
I won't relax until Election Day. But I do appreciate your humor. (eom) StevieM Nov 2016 #17
People are freaking out... Dopers_Greed Nov 2016 #19
You forgot the whole "Hispanics vote Republican" meme.... Spitfire of ATJ Nov 2016 #20
Nice. Parallel universes always mess with my intra dimensional delusions Augiedog Nov 2016 #21
don't be surprised barbtries Nov 2016 #22
At least once a day I have a complete meltdown mountain grammy Nov 2016 #23
Nicely done! It reminds me of the arguments we make about "If Hillary had groped a dozen men, the RW Divine Discontent Nov 2016 #24
lol, i thought you had eaten some bad mushrooms. n/t. okieinpain Nov 2016 #25
Very clever satire! Thanks for the laugh (and the reality check) DJ. eom BlueCaliDem Nov 2016 #27
Surprised, but very happy to recommend this post Freethinker65 Nov 2016 #28
Bwahahahahahaha! muntrv Nov 2016 #29
It's backwards day! ismnotwasm Nov 2016 #32
well played D23MIURG23 Nov 2016 #33
Star Trek Episode: "Mirror Mirror" TrekLuver Nov 2016 #34
Thank you lupinella Nov 2016 #35
Why isn't this parallel universe ThoughtCriminal Nov 2016 #36
Well done sir! Maru Kitteh Nov 2016 #37
FYI, someone actually alerted on this. Dr Hobbitstein Nov 2016 #39
Dec 1969 #
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hlthe2b

(102,236 posts)
2. I can appreciate the point, but still hate seeing these subect lines when I pop in...
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 12:59 PM
Nov 2016

Especially knowing that SOME will never bother to read the post but simply absorb the "gloom and doom"....

Not meaning to be overly critical, but I think before we get a dozen copycat posts, some might take a pause to consider. ...

meadowlark5

(2,795 posts)
3. I had to look to see how many posts you had!
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 01:09 PM
Nov 2016

I was expecting to see 2 posts and be highly suspicious of a Trump troll

I was shaking my head and saying, "what?" "WHAT?"

Sneaky.

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)
19. People are freaking out...
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 02:18 PM
Nov 2016

Because there should be 0% chance of a Trump win, not 25%. Even the slightest possibility of him winning is unacceptable.

Nothing seems to sink this a-hole. He is gaining in the polls after...

His pathetic debate performances
Receiving few major endorsements
Caught on video bragging about sexual assault
Countless victims coming forward
Reports on the Russian connections
etc. etc. etc.

barbtries

(28,789 posts)
22. don't be surprised
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 02:39 PM
Nov 2016

if you find your post quoted all over the internet by republicans who believe every word of it.

one thing that really stuck with me about 2012 is that people i knew who watched fox for news actually believed that Romney was going to win.

mountain grammy

(26,620 posts)
23. At least once a day I have a complete meltdown
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 02:41 PM
Nov 2016

and my husband says, have faith in America like he does. OK, thanks, I feel better.

Divine Discontent

(21,056 posts)
24. Nicely done! It reminds me of the arguments we make about "If Hillary had groped a dozen men, the RW
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 02:44 PM
Nov 2016

would be going crazy", type things, but you twisted it into an outright OP.


Yay, GJ!

Yes, we're still in the driver's seat, but he's gained some, and it's time to step on the gas!

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