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Charlotte Little

(658 posts)
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 05:41 PM Nov 2016

Hillary is Predicted to Win by EV 332 - Yes, as of 11/1

Forgive me if this has already been posted.

http://www.inquisitr.com/3666578/hillary-clinton-will-win-election-by-a-landslide-according-to-moodys-highly-reliable-election-model/

snippet:

The Moody’s model has been predicting a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 election for well over a year now, since July of 2015. However, the final installment of the model was released just this morning, and it was excellent news for Hillary Clinton supporters and Democrats in general. Even in the wake of flagging poll numbers and an email scandal that just won’t die, Hillary Clinton is still predicted to win by the highly trusted and cited model.
Read more at http://www.inquisitr.com/3666578/hillary-clinton-will-win-election-by-a-landslide-according-to-moodys-highly-reliable-election-model/#gdueuY1y270ecPTc.99


The model has been correct since 1980 - so take that and chew on it, Allan Lichtman!

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Hillary is Predicted to Win by EV 332 - Yes, as of 11/1 (Original Post) Charlotte Little Nov 2016 OP
Great News!! NT TomJulie Nov 2016 #2
Ah, but what about FOREX Mexican exchange values? Huh? alcibiades_mystery Nov 2016 #3
What about five cindyperry Nov 2016 #5
Forgive me if I am not grateful, given that we were on track for a 10 point victory with 375 EVs. StevieM Nov 2016 #6
I feel your pain. Charlotte Little Nov 2016 #8
I'll take it! beaglelover Nov 2016 #7
Yes, predicted to win in 70 out of 100 simulations. Helen Borg Nov 2016 #9
Damn! I needed to see that. Let's GOTV! KALD Nov 2016 #10
We won't be happy with less than 400 AwakeAtLast Nov 2016 #11
Is at Pennsylvania at risk due the Philly transit strike? Generic Brad Nov 2016 #12
Dec 1969 #
Dec 1969 #

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
6. Forgive me if I am not grateful, given that we were on track for a 10 point victory with 375 EVs.
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 07:42 PM
Nov 2016

Comey and Chaffetz have interfered in the election, and in a dishonest way at that. And they cost us our chance at winning the House back, maybe even the Senate.

Charlotte Little

(658 posts)
8. I feel your pain.
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 07:45 PM
Nov 2016

But reality is reality. And Hillary winning the election is the most important aspect of all of this. Trump will destroy our democracy and give new fire to the most violent faction in our society if he wins.

Eye on the prize...

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)
9. Yes, predicted to win in 70 out of 100 simulations.
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 07:53 PM
Nov 2016

As of TODAY. But if you look at the slopes of the HC and DT curves at 538, you'll see that they look pretty scary and fast converging. I certainly hope they flatten out and diverge again by next week...

Generic Brad

(14,275 posts)
12. Is at Pennsylvania at risk due the Philly transit strike?
Tue Nov 1, 2016, 08:34 PM
Nov 2016

My daughter called me this evening in a panic. She told me that if the public transit strike is not over there by next Tuesday, she does not think her class schedule will allow her time to reach her polling place (which is really far away from her university). She was thinking the strike is about voter suppression rather than worker rights. If Philly is in transit turmoil, does that put Pennsylvania at risk for Clinton?

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