Here's the problem with CNN's NV Poll

[piechartking]

PER JON RALSTON:
In CNN poll, Trump leads Clinton in Clark County by 1: 46-45. There's more chance that Sheldon Adelson gives $500 million to Priorities USA.

[alcibiades_mystery]

1. ROFL

Seriously, none of the brain trust at CNN decided that the deep blue Clark County probably wouldn't go 46-45 for Trump?

What's next, a Pennsylvania poll showing Trump winning in West Philly?

Good Lord.

[aaaaaa5a]

2. In Clark County Dems hold a 142,000 voter registration edge. Yes, 142,000!

Its all but mathematically impossible for Trump to be leading there.

Busted poll.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/793852908743888896

[randome]

3. I always hesitate to make assumptions about the media when they swing back & forth all the time.

But CNN has truly jumped the shark of late. Hiring Lewandowski, an absolute shill for Trump, is enough to label them as their own brand of deplorable.

It staggers the imagination at times. And yet...even with all this going against us, CNN, Fox, the FBI, Clinton is still our next President and Trump is the whiny loser he has always been.

So there's that.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]I'm always right. When I'm wrong I admit it.
So then I'm right about being wrong.[/center][/font][hr]

[aaaaaa5a]

5. Don't forget MSNBC in your list of networks working against fact and truth. nt

[randome]

15. It's no longer disgruntlement at losing the Fairness Doctrine, it's out-and-out lying.

Have to call them out for it now. Or just don't watch. Maybe the Digital Age is one of the forces that has led us to this point but, regardless, they are becoming more and more irrelevant.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]I'm always right. When I'm wrong I admit it.
So then I'm right about being wrong.[/center][/font][hr]

[geek tragedy]

4. give them credit for publishing an outlier instead of spiking it.

the poll got a bad sample, but NV is hard to poll.

Sometimes pollsters do everything right but still are way off

[book_worm]

6. If you want to follow the election in Nevada listen to Jon Ralston.

[TrekLuver]

7. Let them publicize this poll it will bring even more dems out to vote

[aaaaaa5a]

8. Per USA census. Clark County Demographics

Population estimates, July 1, 2015
2,114,801

Black or African American alone, percent, July 1, 2015
11.8%

American Indian and Alaska Native alone, percent, July 1, 2015
1.2%

Asian alone, percent, July 1, 2015
10.1%

Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2015
30.6%

White alone, not Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2015
44.5%

http://www.census.gov/quickfacts/table/PST045215/32003
___________________________________________________________

Asians, Blacks and Hispanics make up approximately 53% of the County wide population.

Trump by 1? Seriously CNN???

[molova]

10. And remember, a lot of whites will vote for Clinton

Although Trump will likely win among whites, this is not to say that he will get a huge majority of them.

[aaaaaa5a]

11. Agreed.

With a break down like this.

Black 90/10
Asian 75/25
Hispanic 75/25
White 40/60

There is no way Trump comes out with any kind of a lead in Clark County. Its mathematically impossible.

Its really sad when a regular person sitting miles away with a simple laptop computer, knows more about what is going on than the people at networks like CNN and MSNBC who are paid to know such things.

[Charles Bukowski]

9. Their demographics must be utter shit

to produce such a ridiculous result. Which means that could be the case for the other three states as well.

[aaaaaa5a]

12. I think they just got a bad sample.

The problem is I think polling should have more human element. If you have a sample result that goes against any reasonable expectation based on human intelligence, intuition, expertise, etc. they should be able to throw it out. Unfortunately I think they just go with the results regardless.

I would find it hard to believe that anyone at CNN REALLY thinks Trump leads by that margin. But rather than use their own political expertise to provide accurate reporting, they blindly stick to their numbers and report bogus information they know isn't true.

[Thrill]

13. Needed a poll to help Trump media narrative

Picked the wrong state for that bullshit. This doesn't add up