Is there any chance we will see any recovery in the polls before Election Day?

[Ken Burch]

Something swinging in our direction somewhere would do a lot to boost morale and turnout.

[beachbumbob]

1. What greater motivator is there than a close election to voters to vote?

[sunonmars]

2. nope, the media want to create a false horse race for viewing figures...

[Cattledog]

3. Trump only leading in 1 poll...(LA Times) of the top 15.

[Chevy]

5. A Nasty November surprise to be dropped on Trump

next couple of days. Those who have seen say that it will disgust even some of his supporters (some)

[Ken Burch]

7. Hopefully, it will drop while it still makes a difference.

Some of his supporters would stay with him even if he was caught doing cameo appearances in self-produced child pornography.

...even if the kids were WHITE...

[Awsi Dooger]

6. I would say yes

Reversion is very common.

The major concern is widespread polling error, that Trump support has been understated. That is a possibility, and the reason Nate Silver keeps his percentages low.

In 2012 there was underestimation of Obama's support level. He fared better than final polling consensus. Now, that can be taken two ways, either that Democrats are being understated in presidential elections during this period, or that polls are imperfect so the miss can be either way. Nate's model assumes the later. IMO, it is the correct approach in terms of approximating odds and distribution.