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2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Fri Nov 4, 2016, 10:12 AM Nov 2016

5

Nate Silver is a bright guy, a really bright guy, but he is not a demigod.

When you attribute to him mythical powers of divination you look silly.

Carry on.

8 replies

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Nate Silver is a bright guy, a really bright guy, but he is not a demigod. (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2016 OP

Why Nate Silver Got Drunk Grey Lemercier Nov 2016 #1

I hope he's right! Adrahil Nov 2016 #2

If you look at this LBN thread… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #3

Nate is a hedger-He wants to have it both ways redstateblues Nov 2016 #5

^ THIS. dalton99 Nov 2016 #7

Dec 1969 #

Dec 1969 #

Grey Lemercier

(1,429 posts)

1. Why Nate Silver Got Drunk

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 10:21 AM

Nov 2016

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)

2. I hope he's right!

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 10:23 AM

Nov 2016

Because right now his model predicts an HRC win. And I suspect the odds will improve over the next 4 days.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

3. If you look at this LBN thread…

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 10:25 AM

Nov 2016

…you'll see even Silver has doubts about his model.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10141616008

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

5. Nate is a hedger-He wants to have it both ways

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 10:39 AM

Nov 2016

That way he won't ever be wrong

dalton99

(781 posts)

7. ^ THIS.

Reply to redstateblues (Reply #5)

Fri Nov 4, 2016, 10:43 AM

Nov 2016

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