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still_one

(92,492 posts)
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:36 AM Nov 2016

Hey everyone, Nate Silver still gives 65% probability of Hillary winning verses trumps 35%

I will take those odds any day.

More important, I am on my way to do call banking for Hillary into the swing states.

For those who want to debate how many teeth are in a horse's mouth, have fun

later

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Hey everyone, Nate Silver still gives 65% probability of Hillary winning verses trumps 35% (Original Post) still_one Nov 2016 OP
I suspect the odds will grow back over 80% by Monday evening... beachbumbob Nov 2016 #2
That's good. MineralMan Nov 2016 #3
I'm thinking 6 points jcgoldie Nov 2016 #5
Six points would be OK, but I'd prefer more, frankly. MineralMan Nov 2016 #8
That would be nice but jcgoldie Nov 2016 #11
We'll see, sometime early Wednesday morning. MineralMan Nov 2016 #12
If I could get these odds on the moneyline in the predictive markets jcgoldie Nov 2016 #4
I agree. 2 to 1 in the modern era is pretty damn good. Fahrenthold451 Nov 2016 #6
Doesn't make me feel better, when weather forecast says 35% chance of rain, it rains. Hoyt Nov 2016 #7
He has Nevada in pink. Norbert Nov 2016 #9
Have a Grand Phone Banking Day, stillone! Have you seen this? Cha Nov 2016 #10
PEC is at >99% triron Nov 2016 #13
I Was Pretty Excited About Obama 3.9% Victory in 2012 Stallion Nov 2016 #14

MineralMan

(146,345 posts)
3. That's good.
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:44 AM
Nov 2016

I'm hoping for that to be the popular vote spread. Hillary 65% Trump 35%.

I don't really think her victory will be that large, but I can hope...

MineralMan

(146,345 posts)
8. Six points would be OK, but I'd prefer more, frankly.
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:49 AM
Nov 2016

I'd like to see us pick up most of the House seats we need for a majority. I think it's unlikely that will get enough, but moving closer would be excellent.

jcgoldie

(11,656 posts)
11. That would be nice but
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:54 AM
Nov 2016

Its looking like about 35% of the country are deplorables... throw in another 10% for religious zealots including Catholics who can't get over the abortion issue with the Supreme Court vacancies looming and you have a race that's going to be relatively close even with a republican candidate who's a complete douchebag.

MineralMan

(146,345 posts)
12. We'll see, sometime early Wednesday morning.
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:06 PM
Nov 2016

I'll be asleep after 10 PM CST, when the west coast polls close and the media calls all those states for Hillary. I'll be sleeping well. Then, in the morning, I'll be up bright and early to begin the celebration.

jcgoldie

(11,656 posts)
4. If I could get these odds on the moneyline in the predictive markets
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:46 AM
Nov 2016

I'd empty out my bank account at this point.

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
7. Doesn't make me feel better, when weather forecast says 35% chance of rain, it rains.
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:49 AM
Nov 2016

Especially when I'm planning to do something outside.

I'll be glad when it's over, and Clinton wins.

Cha

(297,935 posts)
10. Have a Grand Phone Banking Day, stillone! Have you seen this?
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 11:51 AM
Nov 2016
"I'm Voting for the Planet" Another brilliant Ad from Hillary!

Stallion

(6,476 posts)
14. I Was Pretty Excited About Obama 3.9% Victory in 2012
Sat Nov 5, 2016, 12:16 PM
Nov 2016

even though it was just over 2% on Election Night

I still celebrate WINNING

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