Sam Wang Princeton - updated

[asiliveandbreathe]

As of November 5, 2:06PM EDT:


http://election.princeton.edu/category/politics/

Snapshot (196 state polls): Clinton 313, Trump 225 EV    Meta-margin: Clinton +2.6%

Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 98%, Bayesian >99%

Senate snapshot (48 polls): Dem+Ind: 50, GOP: 50, Meta-margin: D +0.8%, Nov. control probability: Dem. 78%

[Foggyhill]

2. 50 - 50 is pretty depressing for the Senate (though its better than 49 I guess).

[elleng]

7. Basically been that way for a while. I agree,

pretty depressing. What a future we've got (NOT!)

[vlyons]

4. If senate is 50-50, Tim Kaine will be a busy fella.

That would make Schumer majority leader, which would give him lots of say-so in assigning committee chairs. Better than the alterative. Man, we REALLY REALLY need to focus on outlawing gerrymandered districts and voter suppression.

[regnaD kciN]

5. Basically unchanged the past day…

…except it shows HRC winning one more electoral vote (?) and our chances of Senate control increasing by 2%

Also, Upshot's holding steady at 85%, HuffPost dropped 0.2% to 97.9%, and only dKos is showing a noticeable drop, and that only -1% to 90%.

[mucifer]

6. Repubs are putting many millions to buy the senate

it might work out for them.