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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMineralMan's DU Hunch Poll - Vote Now!
The question: By how many percentage points does Hillary Clinton win on Tuesday in the nationwide popular vote count?Vote for your hunch about the size of her victory. If none of the options fits your hunch, click the Pass button.
On Wednesday, we can compare hunches to the actual results. Please kick the thread to keep it visible. Thanks!
Disclaimer: This is a meaningless online poll. It is not scientific in any way. Your vote is just a hunch. Pay no attention to the results of this poll. But please vote. It's important anyhow, maybe.
54 votes, 2 passes | Time left: Unlimited | |
1% | |
0 (0%) |
|
2% | |
0 (0%) |
|
3% | |
2 (4%) |
|
4% | |
11 (20%) |
|
5% | |
7 (13%) |
|
6% | |
9 (17%) |
|
7% | |
8 (15%) |
|
8% | |
5 (9%) |
|
9% | |
3 (6%) |
|
10% or More | |
9 (17%) |
|
2 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided. | |
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
33 replies
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MineralMan's DU Hunch Poll - Vote Now! (Original Post)
MineralMan
Nov 2016
OP
I'm in the 5% camp - but, I like the way DUers think 8-10% okay I'll take it!
asiliveandbreathe
Nov 2016
#5
rock
(13,218 posts)4. 10% (+)
The biggest runaway you can imagine. As I have stated elsewhere on DU.
asiliveandbreathe
(8,203 posts)5. I'm in the 5% camp - but, I like the way DUers think 8-10% okay I'll take it!
gademocrat7
(11,098 posts)7. K&R!
My hunch is also 8%, MM.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)10. 53% to 45%
MineralMan
(147,290 posts)11. I'm right there with you on that.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)16. The one absolute in this election is Trump has a concrete ceiling of support
In hundreds of polls he has gone over 43% only a couple of times, the only thing that has varied is SOS Clinton's support. He hasn't gained a single supporter in months.
In an election there are no "undecideds" so the number goes up a bit. I would be astonished if he goes past 46%. Wouldn't be surprised if he is as low as 42%. This is a one issue election "How do you feel about Donald Trump".
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)12. I have $50 on at least 5
MineralMan
(147,290 posts)13. You'll win. Plan a night out, for sure!
emulatorloo
(45,510 posts)14. I salute your copycat thread!
K&R!
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)15. Kick for more votes
Hekate
(94,160 posts)17. If I'm doing a meaningless online poll, I'm going with 10%!
Thank gods it's almost over.
Shrike47
(6,913 posts)19. I really want it to be 10% because I want Trump SHAMED.
Liberal_in_LA
(44,397 posts)20. k&r
mcar
(43,344 posts)21. What do I win if I'm right?
MineralMan
(147,290 posts)24. Fame shared with the others who
got it right. Other than that, there is no prize, except Hillary as President.
Avalux
(35,015 posts)22. I'm going with 8%. That's a hefty number but why not?
The early voting data and anecdotals we're hearing sure do make me think it's possible.
Laffy Kat
(16,503 posts)26. Why not think big? Ten percent here. nt
NastyRiffraff
(12,448 posts)29. I'll go with 7%
since you specified national popular vote. I think she'll win the electoral votes by a larger margin/percentage.
TheBlackAdder
(28,810 posts)30. I choose 5%, as there are a lot of dumbasses in this country.