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2016 Postmortem

vdogg

(1,384 posts) Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:58 AM Nov 2016

Lol, IBD/TIPP expects us to believe there are more Republicans than Democrats

http://www.investors.com/politics/trump-lead-widens-to-2-his-biggest-yet-despite-november-surprise-ibdtipp-poll/

Says Trump up 3 nationally 4 way, Clinton up 1 2 way, which is stunning given there were more Republican respondents than Democrats. They're about to have a lot of egg on their face.

3 replies

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Lol, IBD/TIPP expects us to believe there are more Republicans than Democrats (Original Post) vdogg Nov 2016 OP

National polls like this one almost always wrong but that's ok beachbum bob Nov 2016 #1

Annandale 538 drops her chances by 3 percent! vdogg Nov 2016 #2

IDB lives on its reputation to have had the exact spread in 2008 and a good spread in 2004 for their Mass Nov 2016 #3

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

1. National polls like this one almost always wrong but that's ok

Reply to vdogg (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:01 AM

Nov 2016

Gives added motivation for Democrats to vote..

vdogg

(1,384 posts)

2. Annandale 538 drops her chances by 3 percent!

Reply to vdogg (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:23 AM

Nov 2016

Based on that and LA Times...

Mass

(27,315 posts)

3. IDB lives on its reputation to have had the exact spread in 2008 and a good spread in 2004 for their

Reply to vdogg (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:25 AM

Nov 2016

final poll, but they were in the middle of the pack in 2012 and this year, they are the most pessimistic for Hillary Clinton with the exception of LATimes/USC.

Polls point to an Hillary Clinton's small victory (about 3 points), but this means that we are not complacent and that people vote.

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