What I think we'll see tomorrow night..Josh Marshall, Talking Points Memo:
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/what-i-think-we-ll-see-tomorrow-night
by Josh Marshall, published 11/7/16, 1:59 pm ET
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Let me share with you my take on the race on the day before election day.
A group of reasons make me think Clinton is increasingly likely to win and increasingly likely to outperform the numbers which have seemed likely for the last week plus. I don't like making predictions. I think for the same reason I've never understood the appeal of gambling. I don't know the future. Why would I cause myself anxiety by stipulating to something I don't know? In any case, looking at the public polls, the best breakdowns of the early vote, the indications of a high turnout election in general, what I can glean about what Clinton campaign thinks is happening, I suspect Clinton is going to over-perform the public polls and end up with a more lopsided victory than a lot of us have expected.
Am I sure? Not at all. These are just 'more likely than not' reads; and a lot of those reads are favoring Clinton.
(more at link)