FOX Polls: Obama up in Ohio and Florida.

[Mr.Turnip]

Here's Ohio,
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/04/19/fox-news-poll-obama-has-edge-over-romney-in-ohio/


Obama has gained significantly since the last time Fox polled it back in February at that time they got Romney + 6, that has now flipped to Obama + 6 they also polled Obama-Biden vs Romney-Portman and it's still Obama + 6 so Portman does not help Romney in Ohio at all at this point in the race.

And Florida

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/04/19/fox-news-poll-obama-and-romney-in-tight-race-in-florida/

While not quite as hot for Obama as PPPs Florida poll it still shows an Obama lead of +2, unlike the PPP poll where Rubio dropped Romney a few points here Rubio nets Romney 1 point narrowing the margin to +1, still not particularly impressive or helpful.

Regardless Fox's last national poll showed a Romney 2 point lead nationally, these numbers do not mesh with a Romney national lead of any sort, there is pretty much no way Romney could be ahead nationally while losing Ohio by 6 points.

[russspeakeasy]

1. It's a fox survey. It could be +/- 50 points.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

2. I wonder how Fox will report this bit of self-contradictory news

After all, since Obama's been such a "disaster" for our country, you'd think that people would be flocking to Romney to support him?
I'm surprised that they published such a poll all. Probably won't get much attention as the next Gallup poll that shows a lead (however slight) for Romney. I was staggered when Fox News called the election for President Obama fairly early on during Election Night 2008. He had such a commanding lead that I guess they couldn't find a way to make things appear close enough to steal. I wonder if it will be like that this year?

[ellisonz]

3. I think we're going to win Ohio.

Florida is going to be trouble because of their super-restrictive voter registration law.

[Mr.Turnip]

4. Well that's the thing for us, we have a large margin for error in this election.

We can lose quite a few battlegrounds and still come out on top. Romney on the other hand has to win pretty much every battleground state in order to gain a narrow victory.

[quaker bill]

5. We will in FL as well

The problem with polls is the LV model. Obama brings out unlikely voters here. There is alot of work being done to assure they are registered. Of course the easy path is to vote absentee, as there is no photo id check for absentee ballots. Since absentees generally help the (R) side, they did not do much to restrict them.

[Marzupialis]

6. I Hope Latinos don't vote for Romney

Simply becuase he nominates an Hispanic.
The good news is that Cubans are the only Latinos I can see getting excited about Rubio, but U.S. Cubans love Republicans anyway, so nothing to lose there.