Obama now beating Romney 49%-42% in Gallup Tracking Poll:

[jenmito]

And Obama's approval at 50% for 2nd day in a row: http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

Edited to use link provided by RedSpartan

[RedSpartan]

1. I like it.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx

[jenmito]

4. Can I add that link to my OP? n/t

[RedSpartan]

5. Absolutely!

[jenmito]

6. Thanks!

[Marzupialis]

2. Rasmussen tracking now stands out like a sore thumb

Conservative pollster Rasmussen, who has attended numerous fundraisers for Republicans (none for Democrats) this year, has Romney leading by 4%. Only he gives Romney an advantage as we speak.

Here's a Media Matters article detailing how much money Rasmussen pockets off these events: http://mediamatters.org/blog/201203300007

[jillan]

15. The republican in my life says the only poll you can believe is Rasmussen - all the other ones

are 'democrat' polls.

[democrat_patriot]

3. Obama leads in women, latinos and younger voters. Surprised it isn't bigger.

I don't believe it's that close.

What did the polls say 11/3/08? I thought Obama was up like 51-49 over McCain, and it was not even close.

GOTV.

[RedSpartan]

8. Gallup's final 2008 poll (Nov. 2, 2008) had Obama up 55-44

http://www.gallup.com/poll/111703/Final-Presidential-Estimate-Obama-55-McCain-44.aspx

[Gregorian]

7. If it's that close

Then this nation is truly a piece of history. Truly sad.

In an intelligent nation that poll would be minimum 90%/10%.

That is close enough to "Diebold".

[pnwmom]

9. The problem is that these are registered voters.

Whenever they switch to likely voters, the advantage seems to go to the Rethugs-- so be prepared to see lower numbers when that happens.

[jenmito]

10. Like Chuck Todd said,

at this point, polls using "likely voters" right now are far off because they use samples representative of the last (2010) election, which was way more RW than the general election will be.

[pnwmom]

13. But I think they will keep doing that -- weighting samples by the former percentages of Dems

vs. Rethugs.

The system doesn't do a very good job of adjusting for changes.

[Arkana]

11. You won't hear this one in the mainstream media, no you won't.

It doesn't fit the narrative.

[jenmito]

14. I know. They kept reporting on this poll when Romney was up by 3 or 4, but heard nothing about

it since.

[Johnny2X2X]

12. Yup

On several smaller sites I post on regularly threads were started by Cons when the 1st Gallup poll came out. Then Gallup was reliable and the Gold Standard of polls. Now, Gallup is Liberal and biased.

Gallup has acted funny for a while, not sure if they made a correction, but now they are right in line with all the other polls out there save for Rasmussen which is alone as an outlier now.