2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama at 54.2% on Intrade. Up 1.5% today.
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474jberryhill
(62,444 posts)It's going to take a lot to get a lower one before the election is over.
I was thinking of shorting Romney the other day. Wish I did.
Douglas Carpenter
(20,226 posts)Johnny2X2X
(19,060 posts)So many RWers out there debate me from the position that Obama is a huge underdog and will get blown out in November. The Intrade odds are a great non partisan way to blow up that position. 55% is quite good considering that the Republicans should be at their strongest right now seeing as they are in the middle of their primary.
Obama is a solid favorite and is trending up. He's up top 56.0% as I type this.
A landslide and total disaster for the GOP is possible now.
Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)over the next 9 and a half months for BO.
There are going to be good days and bad days, and when the media can find reason not focus on the Rs, they WILL hit BO HARD.
And, god forbid any major even happens, like a domestic terrorist attack.
I think the current trend is reflective of the media driven narrative that the nomination was Romney's on auto pilot in flames.
The bullied the Iowa "win" for him, but Florida is going to make the race one way or another.
Mitt pulls it out, he should weather it.
He loses and it is a months of a political freakshow on steriods.
musicblind
(4,484 posts)Or almost. 55.8%
Renew Deal
(81,856 posts)totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)president is just too scary.