I met today with someone definitely "in the know" on Senate races...Lugar is going down tomorrow

[brooklynite]

Indiana will definitely be in play this year.

[Walk away]

1. I would love to see Joe Donnelly in that seat!

Let's hope this will be the first of many Teabagger primary wins that deliver elections to Democrats in the end.

[yortsed snacilbuper]

2. One things for sure,he's not going to vote for himself,

he's not an official resident of Indiana!

[TheCowsCameHome]

3. I hate to see teabaggers get onto any ballot.

Too close for comfort.

[and-justice-for-all]

4. murdoch (vomit)

Would be easier to vote out later if he wins the seat.

[1StrongBlackMan]

5. I heard on NPR ...

that Democratic strategist had bet on Lugar's fall and are prepared to take on the teaparty guy.

Is this a "Be careful of what you wish for moment?"

[brooklynite]

8. Not really...

Because of the Tea Party challenge, Lugar had been pushing himself to the right, so not a lot of difference between them.

[1StrongBlackMan]

12. But by most accounts ...

Lugar is dead in the water, even with his rightward drift. Many in the Indiana gop hate/distrust Lugar because of his "working across the aisle", because of his residency problems and because "he's just too old."

This leaves an extremist gop candidate that the Democrats can cast as ideologically polarizing and 'batsh!t crazy", as the teaparty label rightly indicates.

I would think that the Democratic candidate would have a much harder time beating a right-leaning Lugar. And if elected, Lugar would be far less likely to work across the aisle.

[murielm99]

6. Indiana went blue for Obama last time.

I think it was only through hard work. Many union people were out knocking on doors and working for Obama. That is what we will need again, for all the offices up for grabs in Indiana.

[DCKit]

7. "...again, for all the offices up for grabs in Indiana...

all the way down to dog-catcher."

[mojitojoe]

9. One has to ask how deep Mourdock's support is.

Luger is a victim of his own actions. He's 80. He's been in the Senate for going on 40 years. He hasn't really lived in Indiana for decades. He is out of touch with his electorate. Votes for Mourdock are probably just as much votes against Lugar as they are votes for the teabaggers and their agenda. Donnelly has a chance for picking off this seat - a slim chance, but enough of one where the GOP is going to have to devote resources to the fight. And a dollar spent in Indiana is a dollar not spent in Wisconsin or Massachusetts or Virginia or Florida.

[caraher]

10. Essentially no votes for Mourdock are actually for Mourdock

The sign present everywhere in rural Indiana (thanks to Dick Armey's Freedom Works): "Retire Lugar." If Lugar wins today I'll have to ask whether I can borrow some for November

Meanwhile, should Lugar lose today (I agree that he will, and that it's his fault for allowing his "Hoosier cred" to fade - that's super-important here, though it didn't kill Dan Coats' candidacy), I'm comforted by the And if Lugar does lose (I suspect he will), there's always this mailing I received yesterday from the US Chamber of Commerce (touting Lugar's support of the Keystone XL pipeline and opposition to "Obamacare," cap & trade and financial reform) to comfort me.

[WI_DEM]

11. well, according to the polls, that has been pretty clear for some time now

A poll a few days ago had Lugar down by ten points. So no big surprise.