2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Tea Party Governor Backlash of 2014
John AvlonThe conventional wisdom has it that this cycle is a GOP wave election. But beneath the surface, Democrats are doing OKand Tea Party governors may pay the price for failing to moderate.
America seems resigned to a Seinfeld election in 2014a campaign about nothing.
To an exhausted electorate, the final midterms of the Obama presidency are failing to drive much mainstream excitement, and no clear national themes have emerged despite the high-stakes fight for the Senate. DNC chairwoman Debbie Wasserman-Schultz essentially admitted as much when she dismissed the idea of Democrats running on any national message, seeking instead to focus on local themes.
Its hard to spin this a sign of strength. The fact is that Democrats have drawn a bad hand for the Senate races this cycle. Theyre set to lose open seats in three states Mitt Romney won easilySouth Dakota, West Virginia, and Montanaand theyre defending vulnerable Democratic incumbents in red states like Louisiana, Arkansas, Alaska, and North Carolina. As for the House, the rigged system of redistricting essentially guarantees that it will remain in Republican hands until after the census of 2020.
But dont believe the hype about 2014 being a Republican wave election. Something more complex is going on. Democrats are doing much better than they have a right to expect in the South, especially with family brand names like Landrieu and Pryor. Mitch McConnell even has an improbably tight race on his hands in Kentucky against Alison Lundergan Grimes.
More to the point, Democrat Kay Hagan looks strong in North Carolina, where the Tea Party wave of 2010 brought otherwise unified Republican control to this increasingly purple swing state. The state legislative excesses have been bad enough that GOP governor Pat McCrory, the former mayor of Charlotte, found himself described as a moderate among Wingnuts by The Economist, which detailed his travails this way: Unlike the pragmatic conservatives who have long dominated state politics, the Republicans now in charge are culture warriors The governor found himself passing laws to ban sharia (Islamic law), restrict abortion and introduce strict voter-identification rules, which are being challenged by the federal government.
more
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/08/25/the-tea-party-governor-backlash-of-2014.html
riqster
(13,986 posts)We need the independents to get out and vote against the Teapubbies. If every Dem gets a few sane indie voters to the polls, we can realize some of the gains suggested in the article.
bob4460
(235 posts)there are usually LOTS of political signs up in yards at this time of a election year.This year not many at all like a absence of them,and the political talk i over hear while I am out in public is at a all time low.
Wounded Bear
(58,648 posts)is that the RW echo chamber has most Repub voters convinced that the ideology and obstructionism is the Dems fault.
They're lost anyway, of course, but I hope more Indies and 'centrists' are more in touch with reality.
nxylas
(6,440 posts)I've seen a few articles saying this, and they are all deluged with comments from angry Republicans accusing the author of being a shill for the Dems trying to downplay the coming Romney landslide...uh, I mean Republican takeover of the Senate.