Wendy Davis would have won if the Supreme Court had not stepped in to save the GOP

[UCmeNdc]

In a rare weekend announcement, a majority of the high court’s justices protected the GOP and rejected an emergency request from the Justice Department and civil rights groups to prohibit Texas from requiring voters to produce certain forms of photo ID to cast ballots. Three justices dissented.

The law was struck down by a federal judge last week, but a federal appeals court had put that ruling on hold.

The judge found that roughly 600,000 voters, many of them black or Latino, could be turned away at the polls because they lack acceptable identification. Early voting in Texas begins Monday.

Wendy Davis would have most likely won if all the voters were allowed to vote.

[marshall]

1. Who says she is not going to win?

its not over yet, and Wendy still has plenty of time to get her message out to undecided voters.

[GGJohn]

2. 2 weeks to go, down 9 points?

I really, really would like to see her pull off an upset, but I don't think it's going to happen, especially now that the SCOTUS has upheld TX's voting ID law.

[UCmeNdc]

4. Trust Me.... The polls were wrong. She was going to win. Enter the Supreme Court decision.

[demwing]

11. nothing personal, but there's no reason to trust you

every poll shows her seriously down, and always outside of the MOE. If you have evidence that the polls are wrong, share it. Everyone here will be happy to hear it!

[GGJohn]

13. Nothing would make me happier to be wrong,

but I'm a realist, and being a realist tells me that she has next to zero chance of pulling off an upset.
Every poll out there shows her behind by 9 points, and this close to the elections, unless Abbott makes a major gaffe, he's going to win.

[SmittynMo]

18. 2 words. Remember Cantor.

It can happen

[GGJohn]

20. That was the exception, not the norm.

But I will keep my fingers crossed and hope for a miracle upset.

[Chan790]

25. Cantor wasn't ahead in the polls that much over Brat.

In fact, he'd been tied or lost in a handful of polls and the prediction of local political journalists for most of a month.

The only people who thought Cantor had it in the bag on the eve of primary day were Eric Cantor and his campaign.

[SmittynMo]

27. Faux News had him up big time.

You know, the channel that is fair and balanced. Yeah right!!! They were shocked after the election. I'd love to see it again. And yes, this was the exception, not the norm. However, it leaves hope for others in the same situation. Hell, I remember Rove thinking Rmoney wasn't out it after EVERYONE knew he was toast. But then, Rove is a total imbecile.

[DhhD]

6. This decision is a great rallying call to all Texans. Greg Abbott sets himself up by appealing

decisions of judges based on removing a citizen's right to vote.

This opportunity could pull out many voters that usually stay at home. We still have early voting (go by after work) for 10 days. Rick Perry narrowly won four years ago. Texans are tired of ReThug policies, especially that the Tea Party Extremism is taking hold of Texas. They have cut public school funding by $6 Billion, with more cuts to come. The Extremist controlled Legislature is to meet again this Jan 2015 - May.

[Iamthetruth]

32. 15 points down today

According to realclear.

[GGJohn]

33. Ruh Roh!!

How reliable is RealClear?

[Iamthetruth]

34. I have no clue, it just popped up

Hen I searched the race.

[GGJohn]

37. I just read that Wendy Davis' hometown paper endorsed Abbott.

Not good, it seems that her campaign ad featuring the wheelchair backfired on her, after the ad was aired, her numbers dipped to 32%.
Major gaffe, I understand what the message she was trying to get across was, but she should have left the wheelchair out.

[Iamthetruth]

39. She had to swing for the fences

She had an incredible uphill fight to begin with.

[GGJohn]

40. True,

and it seemed for a while there that she might pull it off and defeat Abbott.
That's ok, TX is slowly trending blue, it's only a matter of time. Tick Tock.

[demwing]

41. She may be a great person

But she was never, ever about to "pull it off and defeat Abbott."

That could change--anything is possible, especially when we vote--but let us not kid ourselves.

[S_B_Jackson]

35. Real Clear Politics doesn't conduct the polls

the poll in question was conducted by the CBS affiliate + Houston Public Media
http://www.khou.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/19/abbott-patrick-command-big-leads-in-khou--houston-public-media-poll/17586309/

[GGJohn]

36. So it's pretty reliable?

If so, this doesn't look very good for Wendy Davis' chances of becoming the next TX gov.

[RadicalGeek]

3. All The More Reasons to Vote Elsewhere

Remember, the Senate confirms most federal judges.

A new "Freedom Summer" in 2015 and 2016 may be in order!

[merrily]

5. ......

[Gothmog]

7. Agreed

It is clear that Greg knew that he had to steal the election

[littlemissmartypants]

19. Indeed. eom

[blkmusclmachine]

8. Rightwing SCOTUS doesn't want voters to vote. Well, the "wrong" voters to vote, anyway...

JIM CROW is back!!!

[kairos12]

29. Or count votes as in Florida in 2000.

[UCmeNdc]

9. The Supreme Court installed Bush over Gore. Now.......

The Supreme Court is picking the Texas Gov.

[Avalux]

10. I'm sorry, won't take your post seriously since you've already decided she lost. Shame on you. n/t

[TexasMommaWithAHat]

12. Mayor Alise Parker's subpoenas have gotten folks all over the state upset

I thought W. Davis had a a moderate chance before Parker's move. (Moderate being better than anything in decades. )

You can't put on the radio in the car without hearing a news story about the subpoenas or an ad about them.

[GGJohn]

14. That was a major gaffe on Mayor Parker's part.

This is going to really rile the R's up and get out and vote, which is a crying shame, she would have been a great gov.

[TexasMommaWithAHat]

15. I agree.

nt

[roody]

16. She did win.

[brooklynite]

17. Two years ago, Ted Cruz won a Statewide election by more than 1,000.000 votes...

Last edited Sun Oct 19, 2014, 10:14 AM - Edit history (1)

As unpleasant as it may be, lacking a realistic view is dangerous in politics.

[savalez]

42. 1,000 votes?

[TeamPooka]

21. If you can't win honestly, cheat. #GOPrulesforlife

[Carl anga]

22. LAST 14 years of republican record

How is this possible?
after 8 years destroying the country and 6 years sabotaging America from congress still republicans ,with that record, will take the senate ?
very simple! REPUBLICANS criminal minds go and LIE and LIE once, twice and a thousand times on everybody's face every second, every minute and so on... WHILE democrats do almost nothing to stop them.
GET UP Democrats!!! let's use all the media available,minute after minute , EVERYBODY need TO SCRUB on all the American people's face THE CRIMINAL REPUBLICAN RECORD.

[egbertowillies]

23. Wendy still has a strong chance of winning.

She was endorsed by all the major newspapers and remember Voter ID have been in effect for some time so those who want to vote will likely get to vote. It just means it takes more effort than the constitution requires. I wish your title was Wendy Davis path to winning would be easier sans SCOTUS ruling.

[onenote]

43. She was endorsed by the 2nd, 4th and 5th largest papers

The first and third largest endorsed Abbott.

It doesn't help to play fast and loose with the facts.

And I say that as someone who has donated money to Davis and would like to see a miracle.

[ellie]

24. It ain't over till it's over.

[Half-Century Man]

26. As a point of personal policy.

When those, who deem themselves above me in social strata, Tell me I cannot do something. I try my best to challenge that hypothesis.
Sometimes I win, sometimes not. Sometimes it hurts, sometimes I feel great. Sometimes I am a small part of a larger whole, sometimes I stand alone.
If it is worth bleeding for, than fight.

Fornicate the Robert's corporate court, the Texas Grumpy Old Pricks, and anyone who speaks to us from on high to tell us we can't.

[SmittynMo]

28. I honestly think she'll win.

Honesty and integrity..


http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017221654

[TBF]

30. I don't know if we have the demographics

for the win down here yet. But that's not stopping me. I'm voting TODAY and I am encouraging everyone else to vote. Give it a shot - what do we have to lose?

Info here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/107821430

[DavidDvorkin]

31. Abbott, Patrick command big leads in KHOU – Houston Public Media Poll

As early voters head to the polls for a landmark election in Texas, a new survey conducted for KHOU-TV and Houston Public Media shows Republican Greg Abbott with a commanding lead over Democrat Wendy Davis in the race for governor.

Abbott's supported by 47 percent of likely voters surveyed for the poll, compared to Davis' 32 percent. Another 15 percent were undecided.

http://www.khou.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/19/abbott-patrick-command-big-leads-in-khou--houston-public-media-poll/17586309/

Yeah, I'll keep hoping against hope till it's officially over, but let's be realistic.

[FBaggins]

38. Love the optomism... but she never had a chance.

The court decision may make it worse, but this remains a race where we claim victory if we lost by only singe digits.