Early voting up for Dems by large margin

[vadermike]

It seems the Dems are doing extremely well in early voting in NC LA AR etc. I wonder if we hold the Senate because if this ? Especially AR. Which looked like cotton was really pulling away and now even begich seems to be doing well in AK and Udall may pull it out in CO ? What do you guys and gals think ? Am I wishful thinking or are the polls accurate ?

[vadermike]

1. Iowa

Anyone hear any good news from IA? I hear conflicting reports about the early voting trends there .. ?

[Iamthetruth]

2. In North Carolina

The margin is smaller than it was in 2012 when President Obama lost North Carolina.

[caber09]

3. I hope the early voting D's are actually voting D....

Has anyone taken into account that the newer or increased D voting could be old school D's who haven't changed registration but vote heavily R, especially in the South? That would really mess up our positive early voting numbers and it wouldn't reflect whats going on....I hope that is not happening and that GOTV is working for us, not against us!

[vadermike]

4. Early voting

Better than 2010 , so that's good and see political wire . com. It is confirming the trend across the board !

[UCmeNdc]

5. GOTV effort, if you have the time

We all can use a little motivation at some point in our lives....

Here is how you can help GOTV.......

http://pol.moveon.org/2014calls/home_shift_signup.html

[Blue_In_AK]

6. Early voting is way up in Alaska

and I feel good about Begich's chances. Support for him seems to be surging, at least here in Anchorage.

[Cosmocat]

7. Somehow, someway, we have to keep the senate

It does not matter one iota how it happens ...

[Reter]

8. Republicans don't vote early

So of course Democrats are up big. Sorry to sound negative, but Democrats will always be up early. That's just a fact.

[RBInMaine]

9. BUT, more of the D early voters will be the low propensity voters and it shows enthusiasm. More:

The higher D early voting the better because our side pushes this hard with low propensity voters or the so called "fall off" voters who don't normally vote in non presidential elections. It can also be an indication of the strength of the ground game. So please don't Debbie Downer this. What I am seeing so far is this isn't a wave year for the R's as in 2010. It all hinges on turnout which will be better for D's this year than in 2010, but it needs to be MUCH better. If the D party can get enough D's who wouldn't normally vote in the non presidential years the hell to the polls, we'll do ok. If there are overall losses, they'll be held to a minimum. So many races are soooooooo close. So dig in and GOTV GOTV GOTV.

[quaker bill]

11. actually they do vote early

The problem usually for Rs is that the early vote, when they get it out, just reduces the election day numbers. There are very few Republican "low propensity" voters that they can encourage to vote early to improve total turnout.

Dems on the other hand have a large number of voters who show up in presidential years and stay home in off years. The interesting bit is that the party has figured out who they are, and where they live. They can target GOTV efforts to the folks who are very likely to vote dem if they show up, but unlikely to show up in an off year. This is where they flog the early vote. There is a large operation here seeing and contacting people over and over. They will get you a ballot, they will call to see if you have completed it, and then will come by and pick it up....

I never hear from them and the reason is that I vote at the polls and never miss an election. Having me vote early would do nothing, so I am not asked.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

10. ...and Georgia!!!!