The polls will be wrong. (DKos)

[elleng]

There is one thing I can be sure will happen on Tuesday: A lot of polls will be wrong. Some will be very wrong. Of course, we know better than to pin hopes on an individual poll; but as it turns out, the margins of polling averages are also more than a couple of points off most of the time. Considering the Daily Kos Election Outlook has, as of this writing, 10 races within two points, we could have a wild ride this year.

Now here's the part you really wanted to hear: more often than not, the polls have underestimated Democratic performance. Don't get too excited though—there's a major exception, for conservative states. And that's where we happen to have some important Senate contests this year.

Here's how the polling averages have done in governor and Senate races, compared to actual results, for relatively close races between 2004 and 2013:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/10/31/1340366/-The-polls-will-be-wrong?detail=email#

[lebkuchen]

1. Anonymous, are you out there?

Please??

[Major Hogwash]

2. We all know this is true, especially after Karl Rove walked off the set in 2012 on Faux Snooze . .

. . . after guaranteeing that Mitt the Dimwit would win in a landslide.

Not only are some of the Democrats in so-called "Blue" states going to win by wider margins than the polls predict, there are going to be some Democrats who win their races in so-called "Red" states.

It's a foregone conclusion that the polls are not nearly as accurate as they used to be.

[Dawson Leery]

4. Mark Warner will do better than a 10 point margin of victory.

The same goes for Jeff Merkley.

[rso]

3. Polls

Interestingly, after that discouraging Des Moines Register 49 to 41 percent Ernst/Braley poll, CNN's newest Iowa poll has them tied at 48 % percent each. Pleasantly surprised that an entity of the Corporate media would even report such numbers, especially after the terrible Des Moines Poll.

[Major Hogwash]

5. Peanuts, popcorn, cracker jacks!

That is what they are really trying to sell, all the goodies you can eat while watching the game.
That's where the real profits come from!
Their markup is like 70% above wholesale, and they buy in bulk!

I still think the Giants will pull this one out, though!
This is the last one, after all!!
My money's on the Giants!

[Ykcutnek]

6. I'm not accepting a McConnell win until it's official.

IMO, he will be the next Cantor.