2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhy our nominee must be Bernie. Hillary cannot defeat Trump
Trump opposes cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid....... Hillary has been tentative on this issue, Bernie has been very vocalhttp://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/09/trump-tea-party-populist-exposed-213111
Trump has also talked for years about the need for universal health care.
http://www.buzzfeed.com/andrewkaczynski/conservative-with-a-heart#.ft3az260Wr
Trump opposed the Iraq War - Bernie did too, so this will not be an issue for him....But Trump will nail Hillary for her initial vote, and for the current problems with ISIS.....and everything in between.
with a dash of email server and a smidgen of Benghazi. He will blame Dubya, Obama and Hillary and will lump everything together.
"To lose all of those thousands and thousands of people, on our side and their side. I mean, you have Iraqi kids, not only our soldiers, walking around with no legs, no arms, no faces. All for no reason. It is a disgrace."
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/07/13/1089484339401.html
Wall Street and Raising Taxes on the rich
Trump has been attacking Wall Street-especially Hedge funds. Bernie can handle that and more- Hillary will have to play defense.
If Trump wins the nomination, it means that he will have defeated the Republican establishment. He will be able to run to the left and the right of Hillary....she will have no chance.
Bernie will have the credibility to attack the inconsistencies of Trump. Hillary will spend all of her time on the defensive.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Last edited Mon Sep 7, 2015, 10:17 PM - Edit history (1)
Sid
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)and Hillary's vulnerability
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)and I also thought that either Hillary or Bernie would easily defeat him.
He is much smarter than most people realize.
cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
sheshe2
(83,754 posts)cantbeserious
(13,039 posts)eom
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Good lord.
brewens
(13,582 posts)but then disowns him after that first debate. Basically saying he was out of his mind thinking of handing the keys to the nuclear arsenal to T-Rump. He thought he saw what would shoot T-Rump down in flames but it didn't. I even commented on his thread that if you knew who T-Rump was going in, what he said shouldn't phase you. Like WTF did you think the guy was like? It's going to be funny to see how he rationalizes getting back behind T-Rump. I have the feeling he will have to.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)they also have a lot of experience holding two incompatible beliefs in their minds at the same time.......like the tea party people railing against socialism and holding signs saying keep your hands off my medicare and social security.
revmclaren
(2,520 posts)She's DOOMED..says no one who matters!
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)revmclaren
(2,520 posts)Nation wide. But you keep up the good fight...not much time left.
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)Your posts are vapid.
revmclaren
(2,520 posts)I guess we both agree on each others posts.
Although you seem to want to reply to my posts. When you post, I don't find any reason to actually read them. You directly posted a reply to me...that's why I'm replying THIS time.
And no, I don't do ignore... I want to see and screen shot all the vacuous hit pieces on DU.
Bye.
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)Perhaps some introspection on your part.
Consider your earlier post:
Subject: "?????..."
Content: " She's DOOMED..says no one who matters! "
I think I'm correct in pointing out that this post really has no discernible content other than a tidbit of snark. You made no effort to attack any of the premises put forth in the original post (with which I disagree, by the way). It's somewhat ironic that you would express concern about "vacuous hit pieces." It's fair criticism to call out arguments that lack substance, not a "hit piece."
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)That is what is the problem with Hillary's candidacy. The people who support her support her because they mistakenly think she is inevitable and "Bernie can't win," and they think that because after all the "people who matter" say that Hillary can and that Bernie can't win.
People who matter more than other people DO NOT EXIST.
The people that most people think matter so much don't really matter at all come election day.
The only people who matter on election day are the ordinary voters, and if we prefer Bernie (and for good reasons some of which are set forth in the OP), then Bernie will win.
Democracy requires that we think for ourselves and don't just agree with "the people who matter."
The OP was written by someone who thinks for him or herself, and that is why the OP is so great.
People who matter -- have you ever met any of them? They aren't any different from me and you. Probably less well educated and less knowledgeable. Probably less experience in life. Take your pick. People who matter more than you don't exist.
Flying Squirrel
(3,041 posts)And people who matter less than myself also therefore do not exist.
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)Flying Squirrel
(3,041 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)But some time ago, I looked at my DU profile, etc. and found names on ignore. I have no idea how they got there. I am a real klutz when it comes to the internet.
It's a wonder I can successfully post. But I don't put people on ignore. What is the point of being on a discussion forum if you put people on ignore? I don't understand that idea.
I'm also one of these people who is normally inclined to vote to leave posts alone. I very rarely get in a bad mood and vote to remove one.
I just think that before I venture out to a discussion website, I should put on my tolerance tee-shirt, my humanity hard-hat and my insult-proof vest as well as my compassionate lipstick and my loving eyes. Otherwise, what is the point?
How can we build more understanding, a more positive society, a better world for our children and grandchildren if we can't share ideas with people who sometimes disagree with us without becoming personally angry or hurt?
Taking things personally, putting the ego out front, those are qualities that make living in peace and harmony difficult. So I try to leave them out of my conversations on DU. I don't always succeed, but I try to watch myself and practice.
Thanks.
Puzzledtraveller
(5,937 posts)We should hope the rnc doesn't change tactics and instead make him their preferred candidate. Outside of that, if he is the nom I think HC would have a tough time against DT.
Renew Deal
(81,856 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)he is dangerous as hell.
Capn Sunshine
(14,378 posts)But the subtext of this post- to sow dissension in the interwebs Democratic communities is accomplished.
Bernie is running on the merits of his platform, not on how bad a candidate Hillary is.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Hillary can barely handle her free ride from Bernie, and a bullshit investigation from the Republicans.
I am not interested in changing anyone's vote.
I just wanted to go on record with what I see.
zappaman
(20,606 posts)Then again, I don't frequent RW sites, so maybe they say different?
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Capn Sunshine
(14,378 posts)to do exactly that. A suspicious angle is always suspicious.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Just take a look at the way he has dismantled Bush and treated the Club for Growth like it is his play toy.
He will attack Hillary on Iraq.....no other Republican other than Rand Paul would do that.
Flying Squirrel
(3,041 posts)But that doesn't change the fact that primary voters and caucusgoers take into consideration which candidate they believe is more likely to beat the opposition in the GE - IOW, who's the better candidate, who has fewer flaws and negatives overall, who excites the base without also energizing the opposition base.
joewalsh38mich
(2 posts)Long time lurker but had to join with the 2016 election coming up.
I hope it is either Biden or Sanders as I think they can beat the Republicans.
Even my family and friends that used to think Hillary was a shoe in have reconsidered she has too much baggage and has a big chance she will lose the general election.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Be sure to buckle up...it'll be a bumpy ride till November 2016.
herding cats
(19,564 posts)It's nice to see a long time lurker finally decide to post.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)And then when joined I rarely posted for four years, it's funny how it happens.
herding cats
(19,564 posts)The resources here can't be beat, and I enjoy being around people who are politically more like me than not. Especially since the rise of the Tea Party. Giving so much credibility to the extremist haters in this country made it so a lot of online political discussion turned positively vile. I like having a place where all that is filtered out for me.
Gore1FL
(21,130 posts)but it won't get that far.
PatrickforO
(14,573 posts)Best not underestimate the opponent, though. Because if his name's got an R by it, he'll get around 40% of the vote as a given. The outcome will depend A LOT on who can pick up the most independents, and that's Bernie.
LostOne4Ever
(9,288 posts)[font style="font-family:'Georgia','Baskerville Old Face','Helvetica',fantasy;" size=4 color=teal]Is that I think a very anti-establishment sentiment is descending upon the country and could sink her campaign.
On paper Trump has no chance no matter who we nominate as our candidate. BUT, the same could have been said by all the Republicans running in the primary before Trump joined in. [font style="font-family:'Papyrus','Baskerville Old Face','Helvetica',fantasy;" size=5 color=scarlet]They thought he was a joke[/font] and his idiotic statements would sink him from the get-go.
Now they are all desperately trying to keep up. Nothing they throw at him, and nothing he does, sticks. They underestimated him and are paying for it. I can't help but wonder if we pick an establishment candidate like Hillary if the same thing will happen to us.
I think the Hillary's own fall in the primaries is a result of this anti-traditional politician fever taking hold. People are tired of the establishment politicians and they are looking at the republicans giving their party's leaders the middle finger and nominating an outsider and are wanting to do the same to the democratic party.
Further, I believe they are thinking that if Trump is the nominee elect-ability goes out the window cause [font style="font-family:'Papyrus','Baskerville Old Face','Helvetica',fantasy;" size=5 color=scarlet]Theoretically[/font] both Sanders and Clinton are more electable than Trump. They can vote for the candidate they LIKE best for once and not the one the party tells them is more electable.
Of course, the first election is still [font style="font-family:'Papyrus','Baskerville Old Face','Helvetica',fantasy;" size=5 color=scarlet]Months and Months away[/font] and things could change drastically. As marginalized moderate nominees quit their supporters could coalesce around an establishment candidate and put an end to the trump and his campaign.
Or, once he is faced with a general election all his idiotic statements might finally come back to haunt Trump and he will find himself losing in the most "Spectacular, luxurious, and classLESS" way imaginable. Anything is possible, but if Trump is the nominee I think Sanders status as a non-establishment candidate would be a tremendous asset.
But there are a lot of different ways this could go.[/font]
Jenny_92808
(1,342 posts)The women's vote will elect Clinton if she wins the primary. Actually, I would prefer Bernie.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)I think I might have supported Hillary in 2012 before Obama was elected the second time. But since that election, I am disappointed in the economy, in the inability of Democrats to get across to Republicans just why we need more Democrats in Congress.
I think I am disappointed in the cautious and fearful way that the DNC and conservative Democrats approach change.
Obama did a great thing today in requiring government contractors to provide sick leave to their employees.
The privatization of essentially government functions is one of the big swindles of our time. To the extent that privatizing government functions is actually cheaper than hiring government employees, it is because the private companies treat the people who do the actual work, their employees really badly in many cases.
So Obama's executive orders about the working conditions of employees of private government contractors are really great.
But the Bush administration criminals who tortured prisoners of the "war on terror" and other crimes of the George W. Bush administration remain unpunished. And our stock market is allowed to function like a Wild West on Indians. Only in this case, the Indians being shot at are the small investors.
I haven't seen enough of the change and moving forward that Obama promised. I think Hillary will be even less likely to change and move forward than Obama. We need real change, especially when it comes to policing and to the economy. I think only Bernie will be able to bring that change.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)He is not a serious candidate.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)He knows what he is doing, and the Republicans don't.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)He does know what he is doing - and what he is doing does not involve trying to become president.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)I do know one thing.....he will not stop until he has crushed the Republican party.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)DFW
(54,372 posts)Then I'm glad I now live elsewhere.
But I don't see it happening any more than I see a declining media-made "war hero" defeating an "uppity" black guy in his first Senate term. I think some people spend too much time making sure they can spell "corporatist" if called on in a spelling bee.
Trump is enjoying his day in the sun, and he has enough money to fly in and out of anywhere, so his 15 minutes may stretch into 15 weeks. But if people seriously fear that this country would elect Donald Trump to the presidency, then either it has become a place populated by a majority of insane people, or the people who have a genuine fear of it spend too much time on the internet and the Sunday talk shows and too little out in the real world.
I have no idea who our nominee will be, nor do I much care at this point, and I am perfectly comfortable with all three major candidates currently seeking the Democratic Party's nomination. I am also perfectly confident that any of them would wipe the table with Trump in any General Election.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)True it is only one poll and it could be an outlier. But the fact that he is anywhere close means we have to be ready for him.
DFW
(54,372 posts)And the Republicans' one true god has been money for decades. It impresses them more than the second coming.
That said, yes, we have to keep an eye on him, but don't forget--last time, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich all were Republican front-runners at one point. Polls are snapshots, usually taken to show something in a light intended by the one taking the snapshot. It's how the movie ends that matters, and the plot of this one is about three seconds old.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Both of these candidates hope for getting independents/non-ideologues etc. to vote for them is to appeal to them by saying they are not a typical politician.
If that is what you are looking for, are you going to vote for the person who has been a politician in government for 25+ years in congress alone, or are you going to vote for the guy who has NEVER been in government.
Trump neutralizes this aspect of how Bernie hopes to appeal to independent and non partisan voters and even persuadable Republicans.
You are not going to out-Trump Trump. The way to deal with Trump is to push experience and competence and highlight the fact that Trump doesn't have those things.
Bernie can't offer as much as Hillary can on those points.
Bernie also will have a lot of trouble with Trump in the debates. Most politicians will quite frankly. But Hillary has a lot more experience dealing with hostile Republicans and she also has had 20+ Presidential debates with President Obama.
Hillary is a much better choice to take on Trump.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)but Bernie's method is pure grass roots. When people catch the Bernie virus, they become evangelists.
Bernie's support is growing month by month with no advertising and no debates. It is the message, and his life story together that form this virus of authenticity... when People do catch it, they pass that virus along with intensity and enthusiasm.....that old adage that word of mouth is the best advertising is still true.
He doesn't need to out-Trump Trump. His vision for America is quite different than Trump's, the contrast will be easy to see.
If his grass roots movement grows to the point where he defeats Hillary, he will be leading Trump by 20 points in the polls.
Bernie will not let Trump or the moderators push him around, he will do perfectly fine in the debates.
If you think that he will, you haven't been watching him very closely.
My problem with Hillary vs. Trump is her voting record and her time at State and the many ways that Trump will attack it...She has her fingerprints everywhere and he will attack her from both the left and the right.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)My conventional lens says that Sanders should be at 2% in the Democratic Primary and Trump should have been forced to drop out after the Latino comments at his first speech.
virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)Bernie stops rising in the polls.
PatrickforO
(14,573 posts)Yes, he will, and he will begin by stating his specific solutions to the problems, as Trump has not done. All Trump seems to say is, "Oh, it will be fine. I'll get the best people...I'll make deals..." but what does that really mean?
rsexaminer
(321 posts)I side with Bernie over Hillary, but I still think she has the better chance to win on a national level than Sanders.
Monk06
(7,675 posts)As of October 2014, Gallup polling found that 43% of Americans identified as Democrats and 39% as Republicans, when party "leaners" were included; those figures changed to 41% Democratic and 42% Republican after the November 2014 elections.[3] However, an earlier 2013 Gallup survey found that 42% of Americans identified as political independents, a record high.[4]
So Dem and GOP are dead even at 42% and Trump has 30% of that giving him 14% nationally and most of that the anti immigrant teaparty/evangelical rump voters who hate the GOP establishment and won't vote if Trump doesn't win the nomination.
14% that is what all the noise is about and a fickle angry 14% at that.
Flying Squirrel
(3,041 posts)AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)And if he did actually get the nomination, he would get trounced by anyone. I doubt he lasts until the primaries.