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Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 02:02 PM Sep 2015

The under reporting of the Sanders presidential campaign serves Bernie well

Last edited Sun Sep 13, 2015, 03:56 PM - Edit history (1)

Yes that is counter intuitive, and no the same thing can't be said for O'Malley, Webb and Chaffee, or for most of the Republican candidates for that matter. But unlike those other candidates, Bernie is already highly competitive where it currently matters, in Iowa and New Hampshire, and his national numbers have risen significantly over the course of the Summer. So as the post Labor Day "official" political season kicks off, Bernie Sanders is already established as one of the proverbial "first tier" candidates. Given the cumulative amount of and the dismissive predominant tone of the media attention paid to Sanders so far though it's not that surprising if most Americans haven't noticed it yet. Bucking conventional wisdom here I'll say that puts Sanders in a sweet spot. He represents a rare political phenomena. Sanders is an insurgent populist surging in political polls months before a single vote is cast, who is not on a trajectory to peak too early.

I've been tracking something interesting about how the media has covered Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump over the course of the Summer. In short it goes something like this. While the media and various political talking heads believed that the Trump ascendancy would be relatively short lived, prone to an inevitable bursting from an excess of hot air, the standard talking point was to pair Trump and Sanders as the angry bookends of the Right and Left. The public was said to be reacting emotionally in the heat of the early summer flirting with both men, blowing off some steam prior to actually examining their political viability and credentials in the cooler days of Fall. Trump and Sanders, in essence, were being politely dismissed as "light summer reading" before the school year resumed and the public had to "hit the books" in earnest. During that media phase an establishment agenda was covertly being advanced.

Neither Donald Trump or Bernie Sanders are trusted foot soldiers for the status quo but they have far from similar political personas. Leaving actual policy distinctions aside for the moment, which of course is the media default mode of coverage of presidential races to begin with, the two men could hardly differ more. With Trump it is first and foremost about his personal brand and advancing his belief that America needs him as a "Strong Man" to make us great again. With Sanders it is first and foremost about the issues he thinks matter to most Americans, and advancing the belief that the inherent power of the American people will ensure prosperity to our nation once the choke hold of the oligarchy is broken. As to personal temperament there simply is no resemblance. Trump shoots from the hip at anything and anyone, Sanders is always focused and deliberate. But bracketing Trump and Sanders as angry men at opposing political extremes seemed to neatly solve an establishment political problem; how to make them both go away.

The establishment thought Trump would implode under any real scrutiny so the media gladly offered him enough rope to hang himself. With the media portraying Sanders essentially as Trump's leftist doppelganger, that set Sanders up to become collateral damage when the Trump bubble burst and anger became discredited as a useful attribute of leadership. Except that Labor Day has come and gone now and Donald Trump continues to dominate the Republican field while Bernie Sanders climbed to the top of the Iowa and New Hampshire Democratic polls. Meanwhile a curious thing happened in the process. Once it became apparent that The Donald wasn't going anywhere, linking Sanders directly to Trump became suddenly less attractive. It began looking like the public's attraction to political outsiders might be more than just a summer fling. Sanders was becoming an even more potent threat to the status quo as his exposure grew so they changed tack, trying to keep him out of the spotlight to stunt his momentum, and turned to Plan B; as in B for Biden.

The Vice President is an acknowledged national leader with consistently held beliefs. In short he's no one's puppet. Biden's long standing political aspirations are his own and are not driven by a need to undercut any momentum Bernie Sanders had been building. But the media needed an alternative narrative to be dismissive of Bernie Sanders with. Rather than directly acknowledge the political power of Bernie's deeply held convictions, they focused on Hillary Clinton's alleged weakness instead with the implicit message that ordinary Democrats were turning away from Clinton rather than turning toward Sanders to explain Sander's increasing political traction. And rather than focus on the resonant substance of the policy message that Sanders espouses, the media turned to constant speculation about whether a “credible” alternative to Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination may still lay out there in the form of the current Vice President.

The cutting off of political “oxygen” to a political campaign by minimizing media coverage of it, whether by design or mere happenstance, has been known to throw more nationally prominent politicians than Bernie Sanders into a death spiral that they could not climb out of. There are a number of presidential aspirants on both sides, whose last names are not Trump, Bush, Clinton or Biden, who have been significantly hobbled by the relative lack of publicity, whether mortally so is yet to be seen. Sanders though doesn't fit that mold, he has not been hobbled. Without even a good debate performance under his belt to point to, his trajectory remains upwards. Yet for most Americans Bernie Sanders continues to fly below the radar. This while his fund raising capacity keeps growing and his campaign infrastructure keeps expanding.

Most Americans won't seriously turn to presidential politics until early next year when actual caucuses and primaries begin to loom larger. That is especially true on the Democratic side where it was long believed that Clinton would win the nomination in a cake walk, and where the first Presidential debate still remains weeks away. The public will soon wake up to the undeniable fact that Bernie Sanders is now poised to win both Iowa and New Hampshire, and that he is indeed a serious contender to become the next President of the United States. And when that happens they will want to know a whole lot more about both Sanders and what he stands for. And when that happens, at exactly the right time on the political calendar for a political campaign to really hit its stride, Bernie Sanders will have the full attention of the American voters. And that is exactly what America's establishment has always wanted to avoid.

29 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The under reporting of the Sanders presidential campaign serves Bernie well (Original Post) Tom Rinaldo Sep 2015 OP
K&R. Excellent analysis, Tom. Ron Green Sep 2015 #1
Yes even the attempt to link Sanders to Trump backfired Tom Rinaldo Sep 2015 #4
Hey Tom! MuseRider Sep 2015 #2
Great analysis. Much appreciated. 99th_Monkey Sep 2015 #3
No Media - no bad publicity. I agree with you totally. jwirr Sep 2015 #5
And let us be always vigilant about the attempts to take the internet away from us. erronis Sep 2015 #7
I know and if we win this election they will double jwirr Sep 2015 #10
You are correct StoneCarver Sep 2015 #15
Also from MN and I agree if Jesse had been different jwirr Sep 2015 #21
K & R! SoapBox Sep 2015 #6
Well Done! Thank you! kr jomin41 Sep 2015 #8
K&R. Interesting analysis. CharlotteVale Sep 2015 #9
This message was self-deleted by its author Julius Youngner Sep 2015 #11
Recommend Read.... KoKo Sep 2015 #12
Very well written! PatrickforO Sep 2015 #13
Thanks Patrick Tom Rinaldo Sep 2015 #14
Thank you, great reading and excellent analysis! Z_California Sep 2015 #16
Brilliant analysis. JDPriestly Sep 2015 #17
Remedial is an excellent term to use. I'll remember that n/t Tom Rinaldo Sep 2015 #20
Could be an OP. N/T TheJames Sep 2015 #23
M$M loves reporting Trump as a bright shiny object. gordianot Sep 2015 #18
Count me in with those who appreciate this post DaveT Sep 2015 #19
Wthout a doubt Tom Rinaldo Sep 2015 #22
Thanks for your wonderful analysis ... slipslidingaway Sep 2015 #24
Great analysis, Tom. I have a brief thought to add about the socialist issue. hedda_foil Sep 2015 #25
Cogent, thoughtful think-piece. Bravo aidbo Sep 2015 #26
Lots of good points. But don't forget social media eridani Sep 2015 #27
Most excellent. L0oniX Sep 2015 #28
Enthusiastic recommendation n/t Catherina Sep 2015 #29

Ron Green

(9,822 posts)
1. K&R. Excellent analysis, Tom.
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 02:15 PM
Sep 2015

There are huge numbers of what we could call "the Disaffected," all over the left-right and other spectra. My sense is that Trump's enormous share of these Disaffected will peel away as he inevitably is shown to be a clown, and will take a good look at Bernie in the process. Herein lies the tantalizing prospect of well-meaning but otherwise lower-information voters becoming more engaged in their identity as "citizen" and less so as "consumer."

I feel pretty good about our chances at this point.

Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
4. Yes even the attempt to link Sanders to Trump backfired
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 02:37 PM
Sep 2015

It just made a broader range of people interested in what Sanders might have to say.

MuseRider

(34,109 posts)
2. Hey Tom!
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 02:21 PM
Sep 2015

Well done. It does seem like the establishment has tried to hobble Bernie in the usual ways but those ways are just not going to work now. He is not the mold they try to break and neither are his supporters. I think he caught the establishment unawares. They did not anticipate or expect what he is doing. I am enjoying watching the show. Nice analysis, I think you are right and I think the trends look really good for Bernie.

Nice to see you.

 

99th_Monkey

(19,326 posts)
3. Great analysis. Much appreciated.
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 02:23 PM
Sep 2015

I couldn't find even one thing to disagree with you about.

I too couldn't help notice how M$M 'coverage' of the Democratic Primary
had to stretch and strain to NOT give airtime to Bernie, over and over.

The one thing I might add, is that along with Biden, the M$M's other ploy
was to pretend that the email 'scandal' was a real issue, and talk about
that endlessly; which conveniently avoided both giving Bernie any airtime,
and discussing any ISSUES voters actually care deeply about. For weeks and
weeks on end the Democratic Primary was ALL about Hill's emails, and
whether Biden 'will or won't" run.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
5. No Media - no bad publicity. I agree with you totally.
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 02:51 PM
Sep 2015

It is also why the internet is so very important this time.

erronis

(15,257 posts)
7. And let us be always vigilant about the attempts to take the internet away from us.
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 03:11 PM
Sep 2015

There are too many large corporations that are involved in the connections between the citizens and the rest of the world. I worry about them (ATT, ComCast, Verizon) and the henchmen of the plutocrats (NSA, FBI) trying to close down our means of communication.

 

StoneCarver

(249 posts)
15. You are correct
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 04:02 PM
Sep 2015

When Obama ran in 08, there was not the internet of today e.g. Facebook, Twitter, etc. Today the "media" are shocked that Sanders can just go around them with a pipeline right to the voters. The old models are broken.

Something like Sanders happened here in Minnesota -we elected a WWW wrestler as governor- Jessie Ventura. It was sad because Ventura could have made a real 3rd party but he made it all about himself, and the independence party cratered. Bernie seems to be the real deal and could be a transformative candidate. Just go to one of his rallies. They are amazing. He just tells the truth- we already know. It's so simple, it's genius!
Stonecarver

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
21. Also from MN and I agree if Jesse had been different
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 05:13 PM
Sep 2015

he could have really changed politics in our state.

Response to Tom Rinaldo (Original post)

PatrickforO

(14,574 posts)
13. Very well written!
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 03:47 PM
Sep 2015

I suspect you're right. Your content is great.

I just want to point out that you said "Sanders was becoming an even more potent threat to the status quo as hi exposure grew so they changed tact, trying to keep him out of the spotlight..."

The proper expression is change tack. It comes from the old days of sailing ships, where you changed the angle, or 'tack' of the sails to change the direction of the vessel.

I don't mean to be a grammar cop, and ordinarily I don't; it is just that your OP is absolutely perfect in both content and structure, except for that one thing. You really are an excellent writer.

Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
14. Thanks Patrick
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 04:01 PM
Sep 2015

For the warm words but especially for your edit. I knew the term but mindlessly transposed the more familiar word for it. You weren't being a grammar cop, that's upholding basic word definition.

JDPriestly

(57,936 posts)
17. Brilliant analysis.
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 04:24 PM
Sep 2015

But I want to add that part of the problem for the mainstream press is their narrow focus.

They are aware of the right-wing blowhards, but they appear to have pretty much ignored the radio of the left. Pacifica and Thom Hartmann come to mind.

And, especially on Thom Hartmann, Americans have been brunching with Bernie for years now.

And there is much more -- Real News, TYT, Ian Masters, so much really excellent probing radio and internet TV and the political leadership on the left -- not the top rung leadership but the political junkies (like me dare I say) have been eating up their programs for years. And the programming quality is excellent. The interviews and reports are probing, exciting, way beyond what the MSM does even on its best shows.

The Mainstream Media, the cable companies, etc. have missed the boat. They are so beholden to their right-wing sponsors that they just utterly missed the boat about what is happening in America.

We are entering a phase of populist reform. We do this from time to time. It is a very American occurrence. And the oligarchs are just going to have to deal with it because this time around we who are not oligarchs, we who are by our birth and necessity forced to be populists just as they are forced by their birth and their wealth to be oligarchs, are not going to fool around. We are not after what they've got, but they can't have everything. They can't starve us out, buy all the houses, take all the money, reduce us to serfs while they grab everything. It isn't going to work out that way.

We will establish a healthy, livable economy in our country. That is what populism is about.

It is not really a threat to business. It will be a boon to business.

But we really need universal, single-payer healthcare in some form. We really need debt-free public college and post-secondary education. We really need well trained people to take care of our young children and grandchildren. We really need affordable pre-school child care that prepares our children for their lives. We really need family leave that allows mothers and fathers to bond with their children (and with each other, I might add). We really need a justice system that doesn't imprison people for nonviolent crimes. We really need police forces that bring peace and don't kill African-Americans almost for sport. We really need a more peaceful society from the inside out and not imposed by militarized police. We really need to break up the big banks. We really need to ask more questions before we go to war. We really need all the ideas that Bernie is presenting. All the programs. All the innovations. They are basic. They are needed.

And, we can afford them. Because Bernie's plan to create jobs by building up our infrastructure, and his promise to put the brakes on the trade agreements, to enforce regulations on Wall Street and break up the big banks while continuing international trade will improve our economy.

Bernie is going to grow our economy while handling our environmental issues.

This is not an outlandish dream of some utopia. Bernie's proposals are realistic. They fit into a good package tailored to deal with problems that will overwhelm us if we don't implement Bernie's proposals.

Bernie is not asking too much. But our Congress and government have neglected to put programs in place that have been needed for a long time, so it seems like Bernie is proposing too much. These programs like universal single payer healthcare should have been instituted thirty years ago. Now we have to make up for lost time.

But we have to do it. We can only support our defense system on the the tax revenue from the $7.25 minimum wage for so long. Because unless we work on our economy and raise our productivity by instituting the programs Bernie is talking about, we will end up with so little tax revenue and so much debt that we will fall apart. And our national security will be the first casualty.

Bernie's ideas are not just realistic. They are remedial. Necessitated by the DLC and Republican neglect that has controlled our country for a number of decades now.

We have to make up for lost time. And Bernie is the person to do it.

Feel the Bern!

gordianot

(15,238 posts)
18. M$M loves reporting Trump as a bright shiny object.
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 04:36 PM
Sep 2015

Sanders refuses to play their game lets hope the dazzle keeps up before Sanders wins primaries

DaveT

(687 posts)
19. Count me in with those who appreciate this post
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 04:51 PM
Sep 2015

I want to expand on the most important point:


The public will soon wake up to the undeniable fact that Bernie Sanders is now poised to win both Iowa and New Hampshire, and that he is indeed a serious contender to become the next President of the United States. And when that happens they will want to know a whole lot more about both Sanders and what he stands for. And when that happens, at exactly the right time on the political calendar for a political campaign to really hit its stride, Bernie Sanders will have the full attention of the American voters. And that is exactly what America's establishment has always wanted to avoid.



At that very time on the political calendar, we can also expect The Smear to hit. It is inevitable. Personally, I cannot imagine a public persona better suited to holding off whatever SwiftBoat bullshit they come up with.

But we all better buckle up our chin straps. This is gonna be a fight.


And long overdue.

Tom Rinaldo

(22,912 posts)
22. Wthout a doubt
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 05:15 PM
Sep 2015

They sure as hell aren't going to just give up and let Bernie over turn their carefully staged apple cart. They hoped just repeating that Sanders is a Socialist and talking about his hair would do the job without them actually having to engage him directly as a serious contender for the Presidency. They were wrong. Now they realize that a frontal attack on Sanders will only increase his legitimacy as a serous candidate if he is causing them to use the artillery against him. That can lead to unpredictable consequences for them once it starts, but they are running out of other choices.

slipslidingaway

(21,210 posts)
24. Thanks for your wonderful analysis ...
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 11:41 PM
Sep 2015

I just now read your entire post.

It should have more recs and or disagreements and probably would have 10 years ago.

Always appreciate your insight

The time is right for a change, people need to decide if they want to stick with corporate candidates or take a chance on redirecting our country to a more sustainable future on a variety of levels.

Again thanks!





hedda_foil

(16,374 posts)
25. Great analysis, Tom. I have a brief thought to add about the socialist issue.
Mon Sep 14, 2015, 12:34 AM
Sep 2015

The one thing that has been reported ad infinitum about Bernie ... often the only thing is that he's a "self avowed"

[font size="36"] SOCIALIST [/font]

That's the one thing that everyone and his right wing uncle has heard.

AND IT NOT ONLY HASN'T STOPPED HIM, HASN'T SLOWED HIM DOWN ONE BIT

eridani

(51,907 posts)
27. Lots of good points. But don't forget social media
Mon Sep 14, 2015, 07:53 AM
Sep 2015

Not MSM, but it is certainly boosting Sanders. I still wonder how 2004 would have turned out if the current social media scene had existed then. Dean would have lasted a long longer (cue thousands of supporters posting the reals--nearly inaudible--Dean Scream). Kerry would have been able to fight the swift boat smears much more effectively.

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