2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll: Sharp Erosion In Clinton Support Among Democratic Women
By Karen Tumulty September 14 at 12:56 PM
COLUMBUS, Ohio Hillary Rodham Clinton is suffering rapid erosion of support among Democratic women the voters long presumed to be her bedrock in her bid to become the nations first female president.
The numbers in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll are an alarm siren: Where 71 percent of Democratic-leaning female voters said in July that they expected to vote for Clinton, only 42 percent do now, a drop of 29 percentage points in eight weeks.
The period since the last survey coincides with the news that the FBI is looking into the security of e-mails sent over a private server Clinton used when she was secretary of state, as well as an intense media focus on her response to the controversy. The episode has raised questions about her judgment and revived memories of the scandals that plagued the presidency of her husband, Bill Clinton, in the 1990s.
See full results: 2016 primaries, political dysfunction and Obama
The steep decline among women, sharpest among whites, is the main force driving the polls overall numbers, which show support for Hillary Clinton falling from 63 percent in July to 42 percent now. Her numbers among women have declined to the point where they are about even with her share among men.
As a result, Clintons once-commanding national lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who is running to her left, and Vice President Biden, who is considering joining the race, has been cut by two-thirds. Both men are now polling in the low 20s against her.
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-sharp-erosion-in-clinton-support-among-democratic-women/2015/09/14/6406e2a0-58c3-11e5-b8c9-944725fcd3b9_story.html
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)MisterP
(23,730 posts)is precisely why they're losing them right now--the effort was to make her "the XYZ candidate" on the basis a few sparkly generalities--her husband was on Arsenio, she's on Ellen, she's for abortion, and of course she's "the Democrat," the sole candidate of the party of all minorities and poor people; any actual critique of her actual policies or of the offshoring, finger-wagging, vote-throwing political machine she represents would've been restricted to places like DU, the niggling fights on Kos, and radicals on CounterPunch and BAR
there wouldn't BE anyone with a decades-long and leading record, just O'Malley and/or a Bill Bradley type--maybe they'd even lose IA and NH, but there's 48 other states they'd just GET by default--heck, there's no Black Chicagoan running, their reasoning went, so IL and the South are sewn up--AR's AA Dems voted overwhelmingly for her outside three Mississippi Valley counties
so the high numbers without any other candidate running were just assumed to be persistent, as a real vote of confidence by women and AAs and signs that the challengers just didn't get those groups; of course that all implicitly says that social groups don't care about sabotage of school systems and shipping all the jobs overseas as long as it were, say, a gay guy or a latina doing it--and that makes people of all groups and classes at least a little insulted: they won't care if they have to pay off another trillion dollars and bury another 4,000 sons and daughters, fathers and mothers, if the person signing the Iranian invasion was drinking out of a mug called "White Male Tears," now would they?
murielm99
(30,738 posts)The media just won't report it.
We know how most of those so-called scandals of the nineties worked out for President Clinton.
And Monica? Who cares?
HRC will bounce back. She is used to this garbage.