2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWBUR Poll: Sanders, Clinton Locked In Tight Contest In N.H. Primary... BS: 35% HC: 31%
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are locked in a tight contest for the New Hampshire Democratic primary, according to a new WBUR poll (topline, crosstabs).
The survey finds Sanders edging Clinton by a narrow margin, pulling 35 percent support to Clintons 31 percent. Joe Biden would earn 14 percent support, were he to jump in the race.
Sanders lead is within the polls margin of error, but it is the fifth consecutive poll of New Hampshire showing Sanders with at least a nominal lead. The survey also looked at support for Lincoln Chafee, Jim Webb and Martin OMalley, and found them largely unfamiliar to voters and drawing little support.
http://www.wbur.org/2015/09/16/poll-sanders-clinton-nh-primary
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As I expected Hillary is gaining back her momentum as people realize the email "scandal" is not actually a scandal.
randys1
(16,286 posts)Pathetic isn't it.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)"Sanders is benefiting from strong support among New Hampshires abundant population of registered independent voters (so-called undeclared), where he leads Clinton by 15 points (35 percent to 20 percent). Independents can vote in either contest in New Hampshire, and have grown rapidly in number in New Hampshire and in importance to the states primary process. In the two most recent contested Democratic primaries (2004 and 2008), independents made up over 40 percent of all participants. To win, Sanders needs to hold on to these independents, and draw them into the Democratic primary. A risk for his campaign is that some portion of these voters may choose to vote on the Republican side, if the Republican race remains as competitive as it currently appears."
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This appears to be a major weakness for Bernie. Much of his support is from non-Democrats who may not even vote in the Dem primary!