Hillary leads Sanders by 30% in North Carolina

[twii]

See page 4.

http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/092415_ElonPollExecSumm.pdf

[leftofcool]

1. Good numbers.

[cantbeserious]

3. A Vote For Hillary In The Primaries Is A Vote For Trump In The General

eom

[Scootaloo]

12. That's not true

As things stand, the democrats are going to keep the white house, so long as we vote. Trump, Bush, Carson, Kasich? They really don't matter. They're a sideshow to our main event.

[cantbeserious]

13. A Vote For Hillary Will Bring Out All the GOP Stoked Fears With Trump

As the bearer of doom.

[Scootaloo]

15. They're going to go all-out regardless.

You could argue that of the candidates, Clinton is most likely to "lose the left," and that could cost her. But I'm not sure how likely that scenario actually is - whether the left staying home, or Clinton losing because of it, if nominated.

I think our only possible "loser" would be Biden. He doesn't have a strong position - basically Clinton, except where he's a little worse. He would have to either run against Obama, or run as Obama's third term, both of which would be damaging to him, albeit in different ways from different people. And the unfortunate reality is that hi mouth is a big liability.

[cantbeserious]

17. That Is Right - Best We Front Our Best Candidate - Not A Wall Street Shill

eom

[Scootaloo]

23. Totally agreed

Our win is certain, if we turn out.
Sanders is simply the better candidate, in terms of policies and positions.
he guarantees the Left comes out and vote - which ripples down-ticket, too.

[cantbeserious]

25. Roger That

eom

[oberliner]

16. There is no scenario that results in Trump becoming president

That is not going to happen.

[cantbeserious]

18. Wishful Thinking

eom

[oberliner]

20. Not in the slightest

In fact, I think there are much more troubling Republican candidate who are actually, regrettably, in a position to possibly win the White House.

The reality is that Trump will be gone within a month or two.

[cantbeserious]

22. All Indications Are Otherwise Pointing

eom

[Persondem]

21. Same poll. HRC beats Trump in NC. Advantage is outside MoE.

And if Hillary can beat Trump now, ... with all the stupid email crap and The Donald near the peak of his popularity, then she would beat him easily in the general.

[cantbeserious]

24. Head To Head - Hillary Loses Due To GOP Stoked Fears Of The Clintons

eom

[Persondem]

28. Bernie loses to GOP stoked fears of draft dodging, tax raising, socialist. nt.

[cantbeserious]

29. Not A Chance He Loses Because Of The Stronger Message And Campaign

eom

[redstateblues]

32. Republicans will turn out in record numbers

to keep a Socialist out of the White House. Go check out some of their websites. There is great intensity about their opposition to Socialism

[cantbeserious]

33. And So Will The Left If They Have A Candidate Worthy Of Their Vote

eom

[BlueWaveDem]

30. No way. Hillary has broad appeal across every Democratic demographic.

And with the historic nature of electing our nation's first woman president, Hillary will garner massive voter turnout. Her appeal across every Democratic demographic is huge.

[cantbeserious]

31. All Changes With The Debates Were She Will Be Exposed As A Wall Street Shill

eom

[BlueWaveDem]

34. Debates don't change much and she's voted to regulate Wall Street over and over.

She has already released numerous policy addressing this issue. Any rational viewer of the debates will be able to find her current policy proposals on this issue. Anyone who doesn't bother already has their mind made up. Hillary polls great among all Democratic demographics and will garner massive voter turnout in support.

[cantbeserious]

35. Her DLC Third Way DWS Campaign Is Paid For By Wall Street Donations

Regulations - yeah right - don't wait for that to happen.

[BlueWaveDem]

41. She has already won the backing of 7 unions.

And praise and endorsements from enviro organizations and women's rights groups, and congressional black caucus. All will be donating.

[SidDithers]

46. ...

Sid

[DemocratSinceBirth]

42. One can't be serious if one believes Trump will be the GOP nominee

The data suggests his support has plateaued and is beginning to crest.

[cantbeserious]

2. NC Primary So Far Away - Now Meaningless

eom

[Motown_Johnny]

4. After Iowa and New Hampshire is the time to check NC polls.

They can change quickly depending on the outcomes of the first two contests.

[BlueWaveDem]

5. Go Hillary!

[artislife]

19. Away!!

[HooptieWagon]

6. He's cut her lead in half.

Good, very good. In a few months he'll be tied.

[twii]

8. By that logic, Sanders' lead in NH will be like 90 in a few months nt

[HooptieWagon]

11. It could be.

He's already tied with GOP candidates for lead among republican voters in NH.
He's won Vermont with 71% of the vote.
He's futher along in polls than Obama was at this time in '07.
The campaign is doing better than they themselves had predicted, in both polls and fundraising.
The DNC is panicking, and wooing Biden as a PlanB establishment candidate.
I'd say things are looking pretty good.

[cherokeeprogressive]

7. Already changing.

[Scootaloo]

9. For now.

First, there's the debates. These will do dual duty for sanders - first, it puts him in people's living rooms. Two, it lets him gets his message out there vs. Clinton's. And love her or not, the reality is that Clinton isn't the world's best debater.

And then we go into the early primaries and caucuses; Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina. You know as well as I do that the results of these contests have a heavy impact on Super Tuesday and beyond - it's why candidates spend so much time in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Tell me what the polls say on Feb. 26.

[senz]

14. The American people are starting to wake up

which is good for Bernie AND for the people.

[Gothmog]

26. I wonder if Hillary Clinton can put NC into play for the general election

President Obama won North Carolina in 2008. The litigation on the NC voter suppression laws is before the judge right now and hopefully these laws will be ruled invalid under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act

[leftofcool]

38. From your keyboard to Gawd's ears!

[riversedge]

44. Thanks for this informative post.

[redstateblues]

27. Bernie will not win any southern states.

All of you bluestaters have no idea what the electorate in the south is like. There's a lot of wishful thinking going on.

[Robbins]

37. Oh really

I live In Missouri so i know plenty about being liberal democrat In Red state.

You probally would have said same thing about Obama In 2007.How did that turn out?

Keep dismissing Bernie and you will be shocked.

[Cheese Sandwich]

36. Hillary will win South Carolina by a landslide, at least by a 30 point spread

Hillary has the loyalty of the party regulars there and dominates the social network too.

No candidate could even make a dent in Hillary's lead in South Carolina.

Many South Carolina voters made a choice very early on they were going to be Clinton voters, before other candidates had even announced.

That's an interesting choice. I'm not sure why anyone would do that but it is their choice to make.

But it does take the suspense out of the South Carolina primary, since it is clear Hillary will win the primary by a landslide.

[jkbRN]

39. HRC match ups

Clinton v Bush
Clinton 42.60%
Bush 46.00%


Clinton v Carson
Clinton 40.90%
Carson 52.30%

Clinton v Trump
Clinton 47.30%
Trump 40.00%

[Recursion]

40. This is with Webb still sitting on his hands

If he ever decides to actually start campaigning I think the polling in the south is going to look a bit different.

[riversedge]

43. Thanks for the post