2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLarry Sabato skeptical on today's Quinnipiac polls
He tweets: "Today's Q polls in OH, FL too pro-Obama. Their recent one in VA underestimated Obama vote (b/c of low minority %). What gives?"
https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/230683163536523264
Cognitive_Resonance
(1,546 posts)looks like a Bozo.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)they even went back in the field to verify it and it showed no change. I don't think Obama being up 6-8 points in Ohio is out of the question. Clearly, the president has been targeting the state with TV ads and appearances. His attacks on Bain appear to be working.
That said I don't necessarily put it past them to make this survey a tad more democratic in leaning so that their next polling after the GOP convention will be adjusted and suddenly show Romney gaining ground.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)That's fairly significant IMHO and it shouldn't be unusual that other polls would reflect that as well.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)They predicted the Gov race and other races very accurately here in CT. I have never heard of them being a bad poll. Sabato is an idiot. Just accept the fact that Romney is tanking.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)if so, great! It would be nice if we didn't have to spend a lot of time and $$ on PA.
The pundits don't their polls when they help their memo of close race.
Plus this Is likely voter polls.Remember all this talk Likely voter poll would doom Obama.
After some badmouth PPP's polling someone on right will want to use their polls since their likely voter poll has Obama up by 1.
And this all shows the bain stradegy has worked.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)Or is he unable to accept the possibilities that Romney is a bad candidate and/or that President Obama's defeat at the polls in November is NOT a foregone conclusion.
JHogan
(23 posts)sounds mad