Expect in the next two weeks for Romney to take the lead from Obama...

[WI_DEM]

It happens especially when you roll out a vice-president and have a convention. Then it evens out when Obama will have his convention.

From an article today showing Romney taking a two-point lead in today's Gallup tracking poll...

If history holds true, expect this trend to continue for the next few cycles of polling. Nine days after John McCain picked Sarah Palin as his running mate in 2008, he turned an 8-point deficit into a 5-point advantage.



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/romney-obama-gallup-tracking-poll-paul-ryan-vp-vice-president-2012-8#ixzz23Y6wF7Og

[Proud Liberal Dem]

1. Thanks WI_DEM

for trying to help avert a total poll-driven DU panicked meltdown!

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

2. Yep! It's normal and that's why Obama/Biden is targeting Ryan as much as possible now.

[liberal N proud]

3. If he doesn't, he can forget about any chance in November.

[Denninmi]

4. I think the size of the bounce will be more telling than the fact it happens.

And if it were a tree in the forest, I'd expect it's going to look a lot more like a Dwarf Alberta Spruce than a Giant Sequoia.

[Lone_Star_Dem]

5. He should.

Announcing your VP and then the convention are both times when polling goes up.

Them comes the Dem convention and we move up again.

Edit to add: I'm not sure Ryan is going to give as nice a bump as Pailin did. There's too much fuel already against him. Still, he should give some sort of positive bump.

[Marsala]

6. Yep. Fortunately the Dem convention happens right afterwards so we should get our own bump

So less angst than in 2008.

[Justice wanted]

7. I know what you are saying BUT with Ryan being the VP I think that bump IF it is there won't be that

much. After the Caribou Barbie people are a little more careful.

[russspeakeasy]

8. How much of this is driven by the networks looking for

more ad revenues ?

[Tom Ripley]

12. Most of it

[mvd]

9. I think just the publicity from the pick..

and the convention will give a small bump. Except for with the Tea Party, Ryan isn't popular. Quickly after their convention, we have ours. Also, I don't worry much about the Gallup tracking poll. While other polls have had Obama with solid leads, Gallup hardly ever does. It is not much better than Rasmussen.

[Brother Buzz]

10. There will definitely be a dead cat bounce, but Obama will still saty out in front

[AverageJoe90]

11. This very well could happen.

But then again, even with the temporary energization of the GOP base, it isn't likely he'll be as fortunate as McCain was.

[Robbins]

13. I laregly agree

After convention Romney should come closer,or tie or take small lead In some non Gallup and RAS polls.

Obama after his convention should turn It around.

My advice let's laregly Ignore RAS and Gallup.Now come October they may adjust to avoid being called wrong.

[GallopingGhost]

14. I'm not sure there's going

to be much of a bounce with this VP pick.

We'll see.

[HopeHoops]

15. This isn't a horse race or NASCAR. And frankly, neither matter until the home stretch.

The GOP already knows it has lost. They threw the losers into the fire pit to get rid of them. BE THEE WARE, for 2016 IS COMING!