2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN Poll: Obama 49%/Romney 47% (LV); Obama +9 with RV
New CNN poll indicates abortion issue not harming Romney.
Also, Independents more likely to prefer Romney than Obama by 3 percent.
Hopefully this will change in the days to come.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/08/24/cnn-poll-obama-49-romney-47-among-likely-voters/
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/08/24/rel8a.pdf
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)Big Poll has too much power.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)He was very excited when this poll came out.
And he said it's 'good' that the Mitt Romney birther controversy happened on a day when this poll will help Romney?!
ladyayache
(4 posts)half of America voted for Bush twice, not surprised, starting to question evolution thou ~
Marsala
(2,090 posts)It's yet another poll showing Obama ahead. If Romney was actually even, half the polls would show him in the lead.
thevoiceofreason
(3,440 posts)Amazing how 98% of the concern announcements come from <1K posters.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)What does that mean?
cecilfirefox
(784 posts)In other words, he's accusing you of being a Republican or conservative troll. It still happens from me time to time- except that this account has been around for a good long while. I'm more of a lurker, personally.
Welcome to DU! O/
MjolnirTime
(1,800 posts)Last edited Fri Aug 24, 2012, 05:40 PM - Edit history (1)
I was just summarizing the CNN findings.
Btw, what's wrong with 'concern'? Usually when one works on an election, you want people on the team who are both encouraging, but at the same time provide objective concern so that people don't get overconfident and take the election for granted. Do you assume Obama is ahead by 20 points and doesn't need to campaign?
One of the dangers that the Obama campaign is worried about actually is that people are not concerned enough. Some people think Obama has this 'in the bag' and therefore they don't have to bother.
As they say, it's best to run as if you're 10 points behind so that you don't get overconfident.
Their main number is in LIKELY voters though. What it doesn't say is that Obama has a much larger lead (9 points) in REGISTERED VOTERS. So Obama may be farther ahead in this poll than it seems.