Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Fri Aug 31, 2012, 10:22 AM Aug 2012

New batch of congressional race polls released...

Polls: Five different Democratic internal polls came out on Thursday, in five different races: CA-03, FL-18, FL-26, MI-03, and NY-01. And while the results individually look good for Team Blue (Dems lead in four of the five surveys, and full details are provided on each below), it's also worth noting more globally that we haven't been seeing as many internals from Republicans. As my colleague Steve Singiser noted earlier this month, Democrats have released a wide majority of the private polls so far this cycle—and that trend only continued yesterday. It's hard to view that as bad news for Dems.

• CA-03: The House Majority PAC has a new poll from GBA Strategies of the race in California's 3rd which backs up a one-day robopoll released by the DCCC's in-house shop last month. The HMP survey puts Dem Rep. John Garamendi up 54-39 over Republican Kim Vann, very similar to the D-Trip's 52-37 spread. Vann didn't respond to the prior set of numbers; let's see if she reacts differently this time.

• MI-03: Democrat Steve Pestka is touting a new internal poll from GQR that has GOP freshman Rep. Justin Amash leading 50-42, which Pestka says represents a gain of three points for the challenger since an unreleased February survey.

• FL-18: This is very welcome news: A new DCCC poll from Grove Insight shows Democrat Patrick Murphy edging Republican freshman Allen West by a single point, 47-46. That's very similar to the numbers Murphy himself put out in early May, which put the race at 45 apiece and which West never responded to.

• FL-26: Everything's coming up Milhouse for Democrat Joe Garcia: On Thursday morning, he was added to the DCCC's Red to Blue list; on Thursday afternoon, he released an internal poll from Benenson Strategy Group showing him up 49-40 over GOP freshman David Rivera.

• NY-01: Understandably, Dem Rep. Tim Bishop's trying to show that that overheated Politico story alleging he engaged in some sort of pay-to-play with a constituent (regarding a fireworks display!) hasn't damaged his standing with voters. To that end, he's out with new polling from Global Strategy Group showing him with a healthy 53-39 lead over Republican Randy Altschuler. That's little changed from his last internal (all the way back in March), which had him on top 53-36.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/08/31/1126092/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Morning-Digest-Democrats-release-five-new-internal-House-polls-and-lead-in-four?showAll=yes

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
New batch of congressional race polls released... (Original Post) WI_DEM Aug 2012 OP
Fl-18 Robbins Aug 2012 #1
Garamendi is well known and liked in CA, I'm glad to hear he is doing well. bemildred Aug 2012 #2
I'm glad, too. He's my representative in the old district, and hopefully in the new one Brother Buzz Aug 2012 #4
Encouraging.... redqueen Aug 2012 #3

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
2. Garamendi is well known and liked in CA, I'm glad to hear he is doing well.
Fri Aug 31, 2012, 02:15 PM
Aug 2012

He was a superb insurance commissioner for us. Along with Kamela Harris he is one of the real bright spots here.

http://www.garamendi.org/

Brother Buzz

(36,422 posts)
4. I'm glad, too. He's my representative in the old district, and hopefully in the new one
Fri Aug 31, 2012, 06:16 PM
Aug 2012

Through gerrymandering, the new district in which he's seeking office has a lot more red in the mix. Upside, he's running against Kim Vann, who is proving to be a genuine airhead.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»New batch of congressiona...