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reddread

(6,896 posts)
Fri Dec 4, 2015, 02:02 AM Dec 2015

why are negatives so important?

was this something Atwater invented, or just a psych stat fact of life?
What is the most important statistical trend in this primary?
what (typically or most likely) determines our basic decision?
is it just economic self interest and/or altruistic/mutual social disposition?
does talking shit have the most effective outcome?

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
why are negatives so important? (Original Post) reddread Dec 2015 OP
Because it gives those losing on other data points, hope. 1StrongBlackMan Dec 2015 #1
I cant quite get what you are saying reddread Dec 2015 #8
too busy to expound more clearly? reddread Dec 2015 #10
I'm saying that the dwelling on unfavorabilities ... 1StrongBlackMan Dec 2015 #11
oh, OK reddread Dec 2015 #12
Oh okay ... I read that wrong ... 1StrongBlackMan Dec 2015 #13
It's called scrutiny. retrowire Dec 2015 #2
Any port in a storm. MineralMan Dec 2015 #3
If we're talking about favorable numbers, this is why it matters and a part that's misunderstood. Crystalite Dec 2015 #4
thank you reddread Dec 2015 #6
Studies find most people consistently vote values, over self interest. Hortensis Dec 2015 #5
thank you reddread Dec 2015 #7
Once a person forms a negative opinion of something, they don't change their minds easily. reformist2 Dec 2015 #9
 

reddread

(6,896 posts)
10. too busy to expound more clearly?
Sat Dec 5, 2015, 10:08 AM
Dec 2015

I would like to understand your point. "data points"?
is that a Star Trek reference?

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
11. I'm saying that the dwelling on unfavorabilities ...
Sat Dec 5, 2015, 11:51 AM
Dec 2015

Is because the HRC has high (er) favorability numbers, and is leading among most demographics, negatives among all voters, is the only data set that gives DU:Bernie comfort.

 

reddread

(6,896 posts)
12. oh, OK
Sat Dec 5, 2015, 11:56 AM
Dec 2015

Im pretty sure Bernie supporters(not.com) on DU are warm and cozy inside and out.
What Im really poking around about is political slandering as a tool.
does it work best?
now the subset question might be, is it the best tool for message board users?
Should it be directed directly at the candidate, or are supporters a cleaner target?
so many questions.
thanks.

retrowire

(10,345 posts)
2. It's called scrutiny.
Fri Dec 4, 2015, 10:42 AM
Dec 2015

It's how you inform others of valid criticisms.

It's a form of critical thinking.

MineralMan

(146,317 posts)
3. Any port in a storm.
Fri Dec 4, 2015, 10:52 AM
Dec 2015

If the ship is sinking, it's time to get to a safe harbor or to abandon ship.

It's easy to do opposition research and spread it around, but that trick never works. It's a desperation move, driven by a sudden need to either fix the leaks or abandon ship. Expect more of it as the actual primaries and caucuses get closer. Desperate times require desperate measures, it seems.

 

Crystalite

(164 posts)
4. If we're talking about favorable numbers, this is why it matters and a part that's misunderstood.
Fri Dec 4, 2015, 11:01 AM
Dec 2015

Polls collect and report largely quantitative data, and even the qualitative pits are often misreported or undervalued.

Let's pretend that Hillary has >60% favorable numbers tied, somewhat, to her name recognition and slick sales department.

Those individual responses might be very strong or very soft; a "just barely likable" registers just the same as a "love her forever".

The negatives, be they new or existing, can really be used to punish a candidate and impact the favorable numbers and, thus, the outcome of an election.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
5. Studies find most people consistently vote values, over self interest.
Fri Dec 4, 2015, 11:06 AM
Dec 2015

That's across the political spectrum, and pretty solid info according to social scientists.

As for just the power of just some negatives, how about this: The GOP's/business's great success over the past 4 decades was built on convincing conservatives that Democrats were anti-values (HUGE negative) and must be opposed at all costs, and on hiding various methods of funneling money and power upward behind fake values messages.

That hugely successful negative divided and effectively conquered the electorate by breaking our power to stop them.

BTW, because of this indoctrination, to this day many people refuse to identify left or liberal, or don't realize they are ("I don't want to pay lazy bums to watch TV while I work, so I must not be a liberal&quot . Studies based only on people self-identifying liberal or not are always flawed.

reformist2

(9,841 posts)
9. Once a person forms a negative opinion of something, they don't change their minds easily.
Fri Dec 4, 2015, 07:02 PM
Dec 2015

That's the predicament dems will be in if they nominate Hillary. We will need to persuade a sizeable percentage to change their minds about Hillary - either that, or we need to clean the table among everyone else who has no strong opinion about her!
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