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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDemographics data from Public Policy Polling's New Hampshire survey (Dec 3rd)
There was a trove of data beyond "Who would you vote for?" from that PPP survey posted on Dec. 3rd for New Hampshire.
Data can be found here: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120315.pdf
Methodology per PPP:
"Public Policy Polling surveyed 458 Democratic primary voters and 454 Republican primary
voters from November 30th to December 2nd. The margin of error for both parties is +/-4.6%.
80% of participants responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have
landlines conducted the survey over the internet."
voters from November 30th to December 2nd. The margin of error for both parties is +/-4.6%.
80% of participants responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have
landlines conducted the survey over the internet."
Final tally among likely New Hampshire democratic primary voters:
Clinton - 44%
Sanders - 42%
O'Malley - 8%
Undecided - 7%
We've already seen this poll though. Let's dig deeper! (My apologies to O'Malley supporters. I'm going to focus my energies on Clinton and Sanders for the rest of this post as there's just too much data to work with.)
---
Clinton Net Favorability among democratic primary voters by gender
Male: +45 (9% not sure)
Female: +48 (10% not sure)
Combined: +46% (9% not sure)
Sanders Net Favorability among democratic primary voters by gender
Male: +68 (8% not sure)
Female: +63 (11% not sure)
Combined: +66 (10% not sure)
---
Clinton Net Favorability among democratic primary voters by age
18-45: +31 (9% not sure)
46-65: +49 (11% not sure)
Older than 65: +64 (6% not sure)
Sanders Net Favorability among democratic primary voters by age
18-45: +57 (12% not sure)
46-65: +69 (10% not sure)
Older than 65: 72% (6% not sure)
---
Clinton Net Favorability by party affiliation
Democrat: +58 (6% not sure)
Republican: -34 (0% not sure)
Independent: +25 (25% not sure)
Sanders Net Favorability by party affiliation
Democrat: +76 (8% not sure)
Republican: -54 (14% not sure)
Independent: +51 (12% not sure)
---
Again, this is a fairly small sample size and only applies to New Hampshire. Still, it's a bit of food for thought. All of the data from my post plus some other gems can be located in in the last 10 or so pages of the link provided above (or here for those to lazy to scroll up!).
Let's open this up for discussion.
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Demographics data from Public Policy Polling's New Hampshire survey (Dec 3rd) (Original Post)
PoliticalMalcontent
Dec 2015
OP
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)1. That looks pretty good for Sanders, right?
Maybe I don't know how to read these things, but that's how it looks to me.
PoliticalMalcontent
(449 posts)2. Looks pretty good to me.
It really should put a stop to the narrative that Sanders is propped by youth that won't vote. Seems to be decently solid support across the board.
Thanks for breaking the ice.
Ned_Devine
(3,146 posts)3. No sweat.
I don't read many polls, so I don't really know what to look for. That was some pretty good info you put out there. As a supporter, I can only hope that he wins Iowa before heading to NH and carries the momentum with him.