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Gallup: Obama now leads by 5 points. (Original Post) RedSpartan Sep 2012 OP
outside of the 2% MOE as well demwing Sep 2012 #1
my experience is that Gallup leans republican. rurallib Sep 2012 #2
49-45 isn't that four points? longship Sep 2012 #3
Yes, my typo. It is 5 points, but I had the numbers wrong in the post. RedSpartan Sep 2012 #5
It is good news, isn't it. longship Sep 2012 #8
Ha! RedSpartan Sep 2012 #9
Good news DemsUnited Sep 2012 #4
The enthusiasm gap means that Democratic Party can't be complacent. Plus think down-ticket. Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2012 #6
I don't trust polls..... Swede Atlanta Sep 2012 #7
Per PPP Obama has a high single digit lead in Ohio. Jennicut Sep 2012 #10
PPP says their Ohio poll will be out tonight TroyD Sep 2012 #15
I don't trust polls either. SmittynMo Sep 2012 #11
Two words - Voter Suppression kurt_cagle Sep 2012 #16
Obama doesn't have a 7-8 point lead in traditionally blue states CreekDog Sep 2012 #12
Some polls put it at 30+ in the really blue states quaker bill Sep 2012 #17
K&R Tarheel_Dem Sep 2012 #13
outstanding news fbguy_144 Sep 2012 #14

longship

(40,416 posts)
8. It is good news, isn't it.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 02:54 PM
Sep 2012

Love it. Thanks for fixing. For a minute I feared that Republican arithmetic had taken hold of the country.



DemsUnited

(1,273 posts)
4. Good news
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 01:39 PM
Sep 2012

But no room for complacency especially since the job approval number took a hit. This election is going to be close and I for one will be dragging friends & family to the polls in Nov to make sure we keep moving FORWARD on women's rights, voting rights, health care reform, SS & medicare, "made in the USA" jobs and all the big issues that are at stake.

That said, all the +Obama polls sure do look good

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,002 posts)
6. The enthusiasm gap means that Democratic Party can't be complacent. Plus think down-ticket.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 01:56 PM
Sep 2012

The Republican base is solidly Anybody But Obama. The Obama bloc is more fluid, less committed. Here's the enthusiasm gap:

 

Swede Atlanta

(3,596 posts)
7. I don't trust polls.....
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 02:43 PM
Sep 2012

further....if this is a national poll it doesn't reveal the race where the stakes really are - the swing states. The statistics may actually show that in traditionally blue states like New York, Massachusetts, California, etc. Obama may have a 7 or 8 point lead but could in fact be trailing, even or barely ahead in key states like Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, etc.

We must keep working, working, working. I don't trust polls and I don't trust the Republican election stealing machine nor their slime machine when that machine will slam hundreds of millions of dollars of misinformation into the campaign in the 2 weeks prior to the election.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
10. Per PPP Obama has a high single digit lead in Ohio.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 03:18 PM
Sep 2012

They also said that in their swing state and national polling data from this past week is looking like 2008. We cannot be complacent but Obama is starting to establish leads in the swing states which is incredibly important. PPP will have some swing state polls in the next few days, maybe even tonight.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
15. PPP says their Ohio poll will be out tonight
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 04:07 PM
Sep 2012
Plan is to have Ohio results between 9 and 10 tonight- looks like Obama leads there by more than 2008 margin of victory


https://twitter.com/ppppolls

SmittynMo

(3,544 posts)
11. I don't trust polls either.
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 03:29 PM
Sep 2012

I strongly suspect it will be a landslide in November, and have thought that for months. Obama doesn't have to do a thing from here on out. He's done. Team Rmoney is self destructing on a daily basis and has been doing so for months. Ya gotta love stupid. Go team Obama!!!! 4 more years, 4 more years.

kurt_cagle

(534 posts)
16. Two words - Voter Suppression
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 05:58 PM
Sep 2012

There is no question that there will be attempts at voter suppression in every swing state, and as the numbers look increasingly negative for Romney, expect more of the shadow money to be poured into dirty tricks and voter suppression.

CreekDog

(46,192 posts)
12. Obama doesn't have a 7-8 point lead in traditionally blue states
Sun Sep 9, 2012, 03:33 PM
Sep 2012

like California, Massachusetts, and New York.

Obama has more like a 20+ percent lead.

though I agree with your conclusion that we shouldn't take anything for granted, but the poll is not about a 7-8 point lead in traditionally blue states --he's doing far, far better than that in all the blue states, not just his strong ones.

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