2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2016 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary - Clinton 46%, Sanders 43% (ARG)
1) 2016 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary
Asked of 600 likely voters - democrat
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Martin O'Malley (D) 3%
Bernie Sanders (D) 43%
Other 0%
Undecided 7%
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-23409
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)don't vote for the Goldman-Sachs supported Oligarchy. The Oligarchy doesn't love you.
Cha
(297,196 posts)rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)16 million living in low income homes. Supporting the billionaire's candidate will not change that. They are all about profits and that means more poverty. The only reasons I can imagine for supporting the Oligarchy is 1. the worship of the wealthy or 2. total denial that there are children going to bed hungry.
Cha
(297,196 posts)rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)that you think is your protector.
Cha
(297,196 posts)rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)the vets from wars that your candidate supported, college students that have become victims of the 1% loan sharks. We support those that will lose their jobs because of the job killing "Free Trade" agreements that your candidate supports. We support those living where fracking is destroying their water supply that your candidate supports. We support efforts to turn back the Patriot Act and end domestic spying while you seem to accept them. We want to see the wealthy pay their fair share of taxes while your candidate wants to have the 99% pay for everything.
This is a class war and your friend, Goldman-Sachs doesn't care about poverty they want bigger profits. I assume you support that.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)INVESTIGATION STARTING FROM DAY ONE ? Look'in Forward to it!
Cha
(297,196 posts)firebrand80
(2,760 posts)I could be wrong about that
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)They blew 2008 by a significant margin.
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)And I'm saying this as a Clinton supporter. ARG should be taken with a massive grain of salt.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Which means she could be ahead by a bunch.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)Given the other recent numbers
Cha
(297,196 posts)madokie
(51,076 posts)she's way, way behind.
My bet is on the latter
Samantha
(9,314 posts)That might tell you something.
Sam
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)#hillyes
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Hard to beat that one. And a little secret, I love Sanders and his political views. Shhhh.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Wishing you and yours the best.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)msrizzo
(796 posts)I still think Bernie probably leads, but she may well be cutting into his lead so Go Hillary!
Cha
(297,196 posts)CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)Cha
(297,196 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)ARG is not a reliable pollster, so while I would love to believe this I'm going to call it an outlier and move on.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Not a big deal if she loses it.
She will win the other 45.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)5 for Bernie, 45 for Hillary.
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)Still, improvement. When he started they said he wouldn't get any traction and then they said only NH and then only NH and Iowa. What next?
Jarqui
(10,123 posts)by age ...
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)Sanders. I concede.
Clinton is kicking major ass.
madokie
(51,076 posts)but I don't think HRC is doing the kicking, sorry
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)Other polls say that Berns is leading. I really don't think polls are indicative of what is going to happen.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)Because there have been MAJOR Structural Changes in Personal Communication Especially among the younger cohort of voters and potential voters. Not even sought out are those that WILL Vote that previously have not. The polls are for in place to "set" expectations be they relevant to actual results or NOT.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)rjsquirrel
(4,762 posts)Every Word Matters?
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)The independent voters which are large percent have the option to vote in either gop or dem primary. So even if they say they are voting dem now they might swtch if the gop contest seems more interesting and consequential. This could hurt Bernie as he is counting on those independents to offset Hillary's lead with actual NH Democrats.
One can only hope that an average of polls, perhaps weighted based on historical accuracy as 538 does, is somewhat close to reality.