Bernie's lead keeps growing. Is it still too soon to be excited about this?

[retrowire]

I'm saying that with a stone straight face.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/michigan

[restorefreedom]

1. i am getting there but still nervous

i will relax when they put the checkmark next to his name

[Bjornsdotter]

5. Ditto. n/t

[Scootaloo]

2. yes, it's too soon.

Think happy thoughts, but let's not start cheering til it's all in.

[retrowire]

4. No cheering here.

I think I'm actually relieved either way right now!

If Bernie wins, AWESOME

If Bernie loses, it will most certainly be by a small margin, and it still proves he could turn the tables in about a week in a state that just favored Hillary last week!

[restorefreedom]

3. something positive...

32% in

candidate votes %
sanders 166,540
51.7%
0
clinton 149,733
46.5%
0

[retrowire]

6. Hmm, seems the surge is dropping again from what I'm watching.

He was leading by 5 and now it's 4 with 30%.

Either way, my expectations are tempered. And either way, I think I'll be happy with the end result.

[restorefreedom]

9. yup. i hope they can call it before 100%

but i have a feeling it will be too close

[jillan]

7. I cannot believe he is holding on to that lead with Detroit counted!!

Look at how green that map is

I am trying not to get excited......

[noamnety]

16. I don't know that Detroit is counted

I see on the CNN map that Wayne precincts are 19% in.

Still - overall,

[jillan]

18. I'm looking at NYT

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/michigan


what do you think?

[noamnety]

22. That shows 206 of 999 precincts reporting for Wayne county

but still - statewide, CNN shows him up overall statewide by over 20k with 42% in.

[Jarqui]

8. Yes because of the big counties like Wayne

But I extrapolated all the exit polls for sex, age and race and they all have Bernie winning by 6-7% ...

A key factor is Clinton is winning the black vote only 64%-32% - a lower margin than the southern states - which might be what is helping Sanders lead in Wayne ....

[restorefreedom]

10. great info, thanks! nt

[Jarqui]

14. Here's the link to the exit poll - I forgot it ...

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/mi/Dem

[restorefreedom]

19. thank you! nt

[tk2kewl]

11. Wayne flipped

I think it's going to tighten

53% HRC 47% SBS 193/999 pct reporting

[Jarqui]

12. In 2008, Hillary lost to "uncommitted" in Washtenaw County

- they must not like her much there ... Sanders is leading 57%-42% there - it's a medium size county of 30,000 votes or so

[TBF]

13. I am refreshing every 3 seconds.

NERVOUS

[retrowire]

17. lol no need to refresh the page I provided! lol nt

[wilsonbooks]

15. It is already a huge win.

look at the polls from huff post

Pollster Trend

Hillary Clinton 57.4%
Bernie Sanders 39.1%

Bernie is destroying the story line that the media has worked so hard to build.

[BernieforPres2016]

26. I posted this link to the polls earlier today to compare them with actual results

Michigan State had Bernie losing 52-47. All other ones were Hillary by double digits with several forecasting a 20+ point margin. Either they're incredibly incompetent, polling has become impossible, or the suppress the Bernie vote strategy didn't work in Michigan.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-michigan-presidential-democratic-primary

[retrowire]

20. The lead is growing again.

He's 5 points ahead again with 35% called.

[Autumn Colors]

21. Not sure what Michael Moore is watching

but his latest tweet from 2 minutes ago said:

"Wow. Now with 40% of the Michigan vote in, Bernie's lead widens by 19,000 votes."

[noamnety]

23. CNN has 44% in.

226,475 Bernie
207,474 Hillary

[BernieforPres2016]

24. Now 48% in

51.5% to 46.7%

[Basement Beat]

30. I'm getting excited...

Took me five minutes to vote in Detroit.
Everyone is friendly and in a good mood - very pleasant voting experience.
I sure as hell marked my ballot for Sanders and left thinking, "Hey, one less vote for Clinton". Little did I know Sanders would be leading!

[dana_b]

25. so I shouldn't do this BUT

I peeked in the Hillary group and someone posted that:

What today's primaries in Michigan and Mississippi will mean.

Michigan Primary 147 Delegates.
Proportional distribution of delegates once a 15% threshold has been reached. HRC is leading in the polls (3 of them) by 18%, 24% & 27%. All conducted between 3/3 - 3/7.
--------------------
So the polls had her winning by a large margin. If that doesn't happen, then what the hell is going on?? I know we have much time to go but it's something to keep pondering.

Whatever it is, let's hope it keeps on happening!!

[retrowire]

28. Depending on the outcome tonight

If it's close or if we WIN, then we will have proved that we can turn the tables in a VERY short amount of time.

[BernieforPres2016]

35. I think what has been proved outside the south in the last few days

is that state polls are shit. The polls in Kansas, Nebraska, Maine and Michigan have all been way off on the downside for Bernie.

[BernieforPres2016]

29. I posted a link to the Michigan polls up above

If you look down the page it shows all the individual polls and the dates the polling was done. Only one had Bernie losing by less than double digits. My guess is they aren't picking up enough independents and are underestimating turnout of young voters.

[noamnety]

31. Yeah they are discussing

how many delegates she needs to win in Michigan to stay on track for the nomination.

[dana_b]

38. thank you all for the responses

I know we still have plenty of time to go but... I am so hopeful right now!!

[jillan]

27. 40% in - he's up by 5! It's getting harder not to be excited.

[BernieforPres2016]

32. 50% in

51.6% to 46.6%, according to CNN.

[Land of Enchantment]

33. 49% reporting

Bernie is up by 25,252 votes 51.6 to 46.6

[retrowire]

36. We're practically halfway there and have held on to a 5 point lead thus far....

Welcome to DU!

[imari362]

34. Go Bernie

est. % in: 51%
sanders 51.7%
clinton 46.5%

[retrowire]

37. Where are you getting these numbers from? :)

Also, Welcome to DU! WOOOO

[jillan]

39. NYT is a great place to watch

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/michigan

[BernieforPres2016]

40. CNN has changed their graphic

from "Clinton and Sanders locked in a tight race in Michigan" to "Sanders leads in Michigan".

Wow, CNN just reported that the Clinton campaign is "uncertain" that they will win Michigan.

[BernieforPres2016]

42. Oh crap. A big chunk just came in for Clinton from somewhere.

Now 49.9% to 48.3% with 56% in.

[OkSustainAg]

41. here

Candidate Votes %
Sanders
270,737 51.7
Clinton
243,455 46.5

[jillan]

43. Oh shit - she's only down by 1% now.

[retrowire]

45. Annnnd now we're grounded in reality again.

It's going to be another close one. Either way. God damnit.

[BernieforPres2016]

47. CNN reporting that the big chunk for Hillary came in from Wayne County (Detroit)

Expect some back and forth. Hillary strong in Detroit, but Bernie is strong in Ann Arbor in other areas.

[retrowire]

48. What a contest am I right?! nt

[BernieforPres2016]

53. CNN is about to cut to Bernie live

Their coverage has actually been very good in the last half hour. They have somebody with each campaign, and have been going through the breakdown based on different parts of the state and which issues are favoring each candidate, also some on the ground stuff like a senior person at the UAW apparently posting something privately on Facebook about Clinton's false and cheap shot at Bernie on supposedly voting against helping the auto industry during the crash.

[dana_b]

46. yeah - what happened??

I suggest people start taking screen shots

[jillan]

50. Detroit.

[BernieforPres2016]

44. CNN reporting both Sanders and Clinton camps think it will be extremely close

Sounds like maybe a 1% to 2% margin either way.

[Autumn Colors]

49. Michael Moore retweeted info re: Muslim vote in Dearborn

Michael Moore ( https://twitter.com/MMFlint ) just retweeted this:

Jews for Bernie
‏@jewsforbernie

Jews for Bernie Retweeted Niraj Warikoo

First serious Jewish Presidential contender wins the Muslim vote in Henry Ford’s stomping grounds.

Jews for Bernie added,
Niraj Warikoo @nwarikoo
It looks like Sanders will win Dearborn, city with highest concentration of Arab Muslims. He leads 64-36, with 67% counted #MichiganPrimary

[BernieforPres2016]

51. Axelrod of CNN says Bernie is doing better with African Americans in Michigan

than he did in the South. Hillary is winning 65% of AA voters in Michigan versus in the 80's in the deep South.

Bernie is winning big on "cares about people like me" and "truthful and honest".

[thereismore]

52. 3% race at 57% reporting. Breathe! nt

[BernieforPres2016]

54. That's 67% in, not 57%

Even better.

[thereismore]

57. Where do you see that? NYT has 57% in.

[BernieforPres2016]

59. CNN, their coverage is very good. Up to 71% in now.

Bernie 50.6%, Hillary 47.6%.

[thereismore]

60. Got it many thanks! What a ride! nt

[thereismore]

55. Genes county (Flint) switched to Bernie just now. Not done yet. nt

[retrowire]

58. Can I get a FUCK YES? lol nt

[thereismore]

61. Fuck yes! He's going to win MI. That is all.

[retrowire]

62. You've called it!

Please for the love of all that is good let it be.

LET IT BE

LET IT BE!

LET IT BE...

LET IT BE!!!!

WHISPER WORDS OF WISDOM

FOR BERNIEEEEEEE!!!!!

[LiberalElite]

65. I've got a Green Tara mantra going but

it's about the same...

[werknotgoin2takeit]

56. Gah!!!

I can hardly stand it. Yesterday I was so sure sanders would lose today I was just worried by how much. So I went on reddit to the Michigan bernie thread and was blown away with the excitement. I went to bed thinking omg he just might win this thing. I want him to so bad!!

[thereismore]

63. Hillary can count on ~20,000 vote gain from the rest of Wayne county (Detroit).

What will that do?

[retrowire]

66. Using my Microsoft Calculator, I can tell you at THIS point,

It'll bring her DAMN close, but not in front.

She'll be within the thousands though.

[thereismore]

70. Dearborn is inside Wayne county with Detroit. I don't know if Dearborn reported yet

but that city goes 65-35 Bernie.

[Little_Wing]

64. Pinch. Me.

Watching CNN go all to hell. Crazy acrobatics.

Go Bernie

[retrowire]

67. They spinning?

Because if they're spinning this early then they're certain he's won.

[Little_Wing]

68. Feels like they are scrambling

It is fun to watch, honestly.

[retrowire]

69. Ahh I've got a funny image in my head of pundits and newscasters running around

with paper flying everywhere and people knocking over chairs with panicked looks on their faces.

[Little_Wing]

75. Yep, pretty much

There must be some reason he won there, right?
They'll figure it out maybe?

[HereSince1628]

71. It's near the point where he can't do worse than a virtual tie.

[thereismore]

72. 3.5% at 80% reporting, hold on to your skivvies! nt

[restorefreedom]

73. 81 now

candidate votes % pledged delegates
sanders 410,181
50.9%
41
clinton 380,679
47.2%
41

[wendylaroux]

74. can I unclinch my sphincter muscle yet? nt

[retrowire]

76. No, stay clenched! OMG nt

[thereismore]

77. Yes. It's done.

[SheilaT]

78. The Young Turks just declared Bernie the winner in Michigan.

The erstwhile MSM is probably apoplectic.

[mak3cats]

79. AP has called it for Bernie!!