Is there really a chance or what?

[New Earth]

Don't worry, I'm not being negative. Just a little confused. I keep hearing from some places he totally still has a chance, and so many states left, etc., and it makes sense to me. But why are other places (not just the MSM) saying 'unless something totally unexpected happens' he won't win (not mentioning names, but head of DU lol)?

I've seen a post someone made with how many delegates each of them have and how many are left. How in the world is it 'statistically almost impossible' for him to win? What is the truth? In real truth, not just because we don't want to give up (which I don't at all!) Thanks!

[snagglepuss]

1. There is some hope. Cenk addresses this at the following link. Also

keep in mind, that Hillary is under investigation and the fact that they offered immunity to the IT guy indicates that the investigation has taken a serious turn, though whether that development involves Hillary or just one of her team we don't know.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017339259

[New Earth]

2. Thank you

I did see that last night. But then with whats-his-name (forget the guy's name on the left), he keeps making it sound so negative. I know he admitted to feeling negative last night but it spread to me

[brewens]

3. As it stands right now, a couple big wins would narrow the gap

considerably. I'd say there is every reason for us to pour it on. I'm donating again because I can't afford not to. I sure as shit wouldn't if I thought it was over!

[New Earth]

5. I have to pull back on donating for a little bit due to money being tight

but I plan to start phone banking in the next day or two. I want him to win so bad!

[corbettkroehler]

15. I'm The Opposite

This is no boast. Because I own a small business and travel extensively, phone banking is out for me. Fortunately, I can replace the donation which you can't make. Work those phones, New Earth. Bernie needs you!

[Plucketeer]

17. We all have to do what we can

"WE" being SUCH an important factor. While money is king, informing the ignorant is every bit as important. Bernie's campaign marks the first time I've EVER given a prospective candidate more than a thousand bucks. But god dammit, it's OUR country and OUR future and if money is what it takes, then that's what I gotta do.

[Pharaoh]

4. what is the current delegate count

Minus superdelegates?

[New Earth]

6. there was an awesome thread posted last night

showing a chart of pledged delegates for each, and then how many are remaining. I can't find it now. It makes it look like he's not that far behind at all. That's why I don't get all the negativity

[New Earth]

7. from what I remember

I think it's about 1100-1200 Hilary and 800+ Bernie.

[abelenkpe]

14. Here

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=1


1139 clinton
825 sanders

Not counting super delegates

[Pharaoh]

16. that doesn't seem insurmountable?

supers could flip at the convention.

And theres always the chance of clinton being indicted

[abelenkpe]

18. Agree

Let's see what happens in the next few primaries. If they're all close then making up the difference gets more difficult. Whoever wins the nomination is most likely going to win the general. That's why it's important to vote in the primary.

[jillan]

19. Here

[RobertEarl]

8. Simple math

At the half way point H has x numbers of delegates.
In the second half Bernie could get x numbers of delegates.

Thereby tying the counts,

Our presence at the convention can untie the counts and get Bernie nominated.

The confederate states are all voted out and now really Blue states are on the road ahead.

[New Earth]

10. Right

This is the way I understand it. But I get so confused when I hear otherwise. And especially, not to start any trouble, the wording of Skinner's new thread made me feel hopeless. Just a few words in it.

[in_cog_ni_to]

12. Skinner's a Clinton supporter, so

you might want to consider that.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

[Ivan Kaputski]

22. He's 100% DLC Third Way.

[winter is coming]

9. Yes, there's a chance. The primary schedule was structured to give the early

advantage to more conservative candidates. Hillary's at her high point. The only question is how much Bernie can narrow the gap before the convention. We've seen Bernie stacks up well against the GOP opposition, and there's no hint that he has any skeletons waiting to pop out of a closet, so there's not reason not to support his nomination if you agree with his positions.

[PatrynXX]

11. I say 50/50

it was no chance up until Feb 1. What worries me is Hillary is alot weaker than I ever thought possible and T**** could easily win. I don't dare ask how much debt she's racked up if she hasn't paid of cities in IA from November and January. I'd say though the chances of him winning increase ever slightly the longer he stays in the race and she doesn't put away big wins. She only had Florida as a big win last night. NC 14 meh that wasn't big IL and MO right now still isn't called so thats a net of zero. Seriously IL +1 MO -1 even though she's ahead. Until she starts winning states like 90-100 delegates in a row I don't see this ending anytime soon and it could go to the convention. and states where it's too close to call could flip. In Iowa thats already happening. Polk county. Hillary easily won. I'm not sure if it flipped or not but it ended up too close to call. Some people hate the Caucus system I love it. It gets people into politics. or in one case Feb 1 back into politics (he was just retired) and he was for Bernie

[in_cog_ni_to]

13. Now that all the conservative RED STATES that would naturally vote for the Conservative candidate

have voted, Blue States are ahead of us. He's got a winning streak coming. Clinton's glory days are over.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

[Rosa Luxemburg]

23. Exactly if she is the nominee she won't win the red states in the general

so what is point having her?

[deepestblue]

20. Delegate Count

Hillary Rodham Clinton 1139
Bernie Sanders 825

With 2,308 remaining.

I suspect this "let's quiet down and support the candidate who has now racked up all the frontloaded southern states" was coordinated months ago to be sent out to news organizations, websites etc.

[Ivan Kaputski]

21. Hillary email investigation on going. It's ok to hope isn't it?

[New Earth]

24. I feel your sentiments

with the little devil emoticons!