270 to Win - Share your Map!

[Agschmid]

This is a great tool!

You can now share your personal 2016 election map with others. This can be a map where you forecast all 50 states, or you can leave some states undecided that you think will be up for grabs. It is up to you. Share your predictions via social media, email or blog. Just click the "Share Map" button when you are ready to send it out and follow the instructions that will appear here.

This is my potential map, I think this is pretty reasonable and still a win!



Check out the link to make yours.

[peacebird]

1. I think Virginia will go Democratic

[Agschmid]

3. Yours...

[Scootaloo]

6. if Sanders is the candidate, I think Alaska might be viable for Democrats as well

Not that anyone ever pays attention to Alaska and Hawaii, I guess... but yeah, Bernie's got the kind of thing going that Alaskans respect. Independent, straight-talking, socially liberal, and is economically "has his shit together".

Alaskan conservativism is purely of the "I don't want the government looking over my shoulder" variety.

[Agschmid]

8. Could be...

Alaska, the 49th state, entered the Union in January 1959, participating in its first presidential election in 1960. Since then, Alaska has voted reliably Republican, only going “blue” for Lyndon Johnson’s rout of Barry Goldwater in 1964. In 2012, Mitt Romney won by 14% over Barack Obama. However, this was down considerably from John McCain's 21.5% margin in 2008, when then-governor Sarah Palin was on the ticket. This 7.5% improvement for Obama in Alaska was easily his strongest state performance relative to 2008, easily outpacing New Jersey (a 2.1% improvement).

http://www.270towin.com/states/Alaska

[BrotherIvan]

17. I think New Mexico will be blue too as was Colorado in 2012

[marym625]

2. throw Florida in there

[Agschmid]

4. See right above.

[marym625]

5. Now you're talking!

[patricia92243]

9. This will be my first Presidential election in Florida. I'll have to see

it turn blue to believe it. I always thought Florida was full of liberal tourists. It is - but they can't vote here. The residents that I have met are surprisingly conservative with LOTS of red-necks.

[Agschmid]

10. Florida...

http://www.270towin.com/states/Florida

Florida gained statehood in 1845, helping the Whig candidate Zachary Taylor get elected president in 1848 – the last general election not won by a Republican or Democratic candidate. Very much a southern state at the time, Florida seceded during the Civil War and did not participate in the 1864 election. Like most southern states, Florida voted almost exclusively Democratic from Reconstruction until the mid-20th century, before turning primarily Republican in 1952. Florida’s population has exploded in the past 60 years and its electoral importance has grown with it, from eight electoral votes at the end of World War II to 29 today, fourth most in the country. Influxes of Cubans, retirees, service workers to the theme park economy booming near Orlando and other groups have resulted in a state much more diversified – both economically and politically – than many of its southern brethren. As a result, although still leaning slightly Republican, Florida is today seen as perhaps the ultimate battleground state, its population a microcosm of the country as a whole. This reputation was enhanced by the closeness of the 2000 election, where it took a month of legal wrangling to decide the winner. In 2012, Florida was the only state decided by less than 1%, with Barack Obama besting Mitt Romney 50.0% to 49.1%.

[marym625]

12. Don't forget the disenfranchised voters

If those votes had been counted in 2000 we would all be living a better life. More importantly, millions of people would still be alive

[BrotherIvan]

18. Hopefully they still remember how freaking awful Jeb was

Then again, they have far too much love for the alien.

[gwheezie]

7. depends on who the gop runs for virginia

I really think mcaullife won because the gop ran the lunatic fringe. If they had not gotten so cute and ran bolling instead they might have beaten McAuliffe so I think it is going to depend on if they run a knucklehead.

[emulatorloo]

11. I think your map nails it. Damned exciting too.

Agree that Florida can be iffy, especially if Bush is running.

[Agschmid]

14. Yup.

It really does depend on who they run as well.

[RoccoR5955]

13. Mine is all blue! n/t

[Jim Lane]

15. I don't see Bernie or any Democrat carrying Indiana, unless it's a nationwide rout

Romney beat Obama by just over 10% in 2012. Yes, I know Obama carried it in 2008, but IIRC that was partly because either Plouffe or Axelrod had some odd preoccupation with the state and steered the campaign to compete there. For 2016 I think the Democrats are more likely to try to re-flip North Carolina (narrowly blue in 2008, narrowly red in 2012) or to work a previously red state like Arizona or Georgia, both of which were closer Romney wins than Indiana.

[BrotherIvan]

16. I wrote a post about how it is nearly statistically impossible for a Republican to win the general

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12801719

So whomever the Democratic primary winner is will fairly easily win the general barring election theft or a big October Surprise. With Jebba running, I wouldn't be surprised at either.

But it also shows we shouldn't be afraid and WE DON'T NEED A CENTRIST to pick up Republican votes. We just need someone that gets Democrats to the polls and appeals to Independents. The enthusiasm of Bernie's announcement shows that he can deliver.