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Hiraeth

(4,805 posts)
Sat May 9, 2015, 11:45 AM May 2015

Bernie Bounce: Support For Sanders With Democrats Grows By 10 Points In Iowa

http://www.politicususa.com/2015/05/09/bernie-bounce-support-sanders-democrats-grows-10-points-iowa.html

The latest polling revealed that support for Bernie Sanders has increased by ten points among Democrats in Iowa after the Senator from Vermont officially announced his bid for the Democratic nomination.

According to the most recent Quinnipiac University poll of Iowa, Sen. Sanders has gone from 5% in February to 15% in May. The poll had Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 19% in February, but after she has repeatedly ruled out a run for the nomination, she was not included in the current round of polling.

Logically, it appears that Warren supporters should be a target for the Sanders campaign, but Hillary Clinton was the most popular first and second choice of Iowa Democratic caucus goers. When her first and second choice support was combined, Clinton received 79% support. The first and second favorite support for Sanders was 25%. (Note: percentages add up to more than one hundred.) Clinton’s 2016 is looking like a reversal of her 2008 Iowa caucus experience while Sanders is in a position to be a legitimate second.

Hillary Clinton had a jaw-dropping 83% approval rating with Iowa Democrats. The former Sec. of State’s approval rating with very liberal Democrats was 88%. Sen. Sanders is largely unknown in Iowa. His favorability split was 44%-6%, but 50% of those polled did not know enough about him. Sanders had a favorability rating of 68% among those who considered themselves to be very liberal.











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Bernie Bounce: Support For Sanders With Democrats Grows By 10 Points In Iowa (Original Post) Hiraeth May 2015 OP
Time is on Bernie's side. They will know him....n/t monmouth4 May 2015 #1
They will know him or, I will die trying. Hillary will cave on everything she promises. Hiraeth May 2015 #2
Hiraeth Iwillnevergiveup May 2015 #11
thank god and pass the biscuits!! Hiraeth May 2015 #12
Post removed Post removed May 2015 #3
Hosts, please .... Hiraeth May 2015 #4
Toasted. L0oniX May 2015 #21
Thanks, L0oniX ! Hiraeth May 2015 #24
getting skeered, aren't you? frylock May 2015 #5
Look, a troll to ignore...[n/t] Maedhros May 2015 #6
Or we could give up dreaming and Live and Learn May 2015 #7
#5 A-Schwarzenegger May 2015 #8
You called it right. Thanks. Hiraeth May 2015 #23
Nope, #6 n/t hootinholler May 2015 #28
Another troll butted in line... A-Schwarzenegger May 2015 #33
Maybe a nap is in order. libdem4life May 2015 #9
Hope you enjoyed your short stay here. L0oniX May 2015 #20
Thank you. Hiraeth May 2015 #22
You keep on thinking that, while Bernie's poll numbers continue to climb. And Hillary's continue to sabrina 1 May 2015 #34
HUGE K & R !!! - Thank You !!! WillyT May 2015 #10
You are most welcome! Hiraeth May 2015 #13
But he took the supporters from Elizabeth Warren, not Hillary, since EW was not included in the poll pnwmom May 2015 #14
Since when did EW declare to be in it? Of course, he got them. She is not running. Hiraeth May 2015 #15
Why should Bernie attract people who are "Repub lite"? That doesn't make sense. n/t pnwmom May 2015 #16
Because they are wishy-washy waffling sheeple. Hiraeth May 2015 #18
That's not a good description of people who like Bernie. pnwmom May 2015 #35
Point taken but, why are they repub lite to start with. Hiraeth May 2015 #37
What you are not getting is that these polls reflect ONLY registered Dems. That demographic now sabrina 1 May 2015 #36
Faux Snooze libodem May 2015 #17
Amen. Hiraeth May 2015 #19
Plain spoken truth libodem May 2015 #25
I can't wait to watch it. What a spectacular sight to see!! The air is palpable. Hiraeth May 2015 #27
That's a great vision libodem May 2015 #31
That's a fact. Enthusiast May 2015 #26
Kick and R. BeanMusical May 2015 #29
"Sen. Sanders is largely unknown in Iowa." DFW May 2015 #30
He's got nowhere to go but up. AtomicKitten May 2015 #32
Yes. I can see it happening exactly that way. Hiraeth May 2015 #38
Welcome to DU. AtomicKitten May 2015 #39
Thanks Hiraeth May 2015 #40
Bernie will be HELPED by the caucus process... cascadiance May 2015 #41

Response to Hiraeth (Original post)

Live and Learn

(12,769 posts)
7. Or we could give up dreaming and
Sat May 9, 2015, 01:29 PM
May 2015

just go with the status quo no matter how badly it is failing. Why attempt to better lives, right?

And by the way, Bernie running at all is already a dream come true for many of us.

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
34. You keep on thinking that, while Bernie's poll numbers continue to climb. And Hillary's continue to
Sat May 9, 2015, 04:41 PM
May 2015

decline.

Under the radar is a good place for Bernie for the moment, by the time the Corporate powers discover just how many millions of Americans are ready to fight for THEIR choice of candidate, it will be too late.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
14. But he took the supporters from Elizabeth Warren, not Hillary, since EW was not included in the poll
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:07 PM
May 2015

Hiraeth

(4,805 posts)
15. Since when did EW declare to be in it? Of course, he got them. She is not running.
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:10 PM
May 2015

Hillary supporters are Rebub lite and that is who Bernie will have to attract.

He will get most of those when the debates start, if not before.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
35. That's not a good description of people who like Bernie.
Sat May 9, 2015, 04:43 PM
May 2015

I think they are smart, independent thinkers. Anything but sheeple.

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
36. What you are not getting is that these polls reflect ONLY registered Dems. That demographic now
Sat May 9, 2015, 04:53 PM
May 2015

makes up ONLY 31% of registered voters. Hillary is losing ground even in that Demographic while Bernie continues to gain.

But the real test will be the Independent vote. Now the largest demographic in the country, at a historical high of 42% and as high as 46% in 2013.

Both major parties have lost large segments of their registered base.

And that is where Bernie is already making a huge impression. And not just with former Dems, he, unlike Hillary, has crossover appeal.

So, while Dems keep looking at registered Dem voters, down by more than 5% who are now Indies, Bernie is looking at the Independent vote which is basically off limits to Corporate Candidates.

Bernie is a smart man. He would not have run if all he could count on was the partisan base of any party. And no one can win without the Indie vote.

That vote will go to Bernie.

He is also pursuing those who have stopped voting altogether due to intense disillusionment with the status quo.

I am seeing comments all over the internet from people who have not voted in years, saying 'i am registering as a Dem so I can vote for this man. This is the first time in decades that I feel a sense of excitement over a candidate.

No doubt Bernie can win this.



libodem

(19,288 posts)
17. Faux Snooze
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:17 PM
May 2015

Won't even say his name because they know his support amongst Republicans would bounce up by 10 points, too.

Seriously. He has a resounding message and it reaches "the people".

libodem

(19,288 posts)
25. Plain spoken truth
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:23 PM
May 2015

That reflects reality. Everyone can relate to it. It's universal. He could out debate everyone coming out of that Republican clown car and give our, Hillary, a run for her money, too.

Hiraeth

(4,805 posts)
27. I can't wait to watch it. What a spectacular sight to see!! The air is palpable.
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:32 PM
May 2015

Hillary has a lot of studying to do and, still I don't think she can resonate with the people the way Bernie can.

I could be wrong but, I think she will come across wooden and robotic and out of her league.

But, with all that said, I think she would make a great VP and hope that Bernie chooses her.

I think he will. And, I think that will be the Unbeatable Ticket we Dems are looking for.

libodem

(19,288 posts)
31. That's a great vision
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:44 PM
May 2015

I wish EW could change positions with Hillary and she were running. I think Hillary would be a magnificent power behind the throne. But it appears to be Hillary's turn.

I get the 3rd way but I don't like it.

My idealism clouds my clarity, sometimes.

Nice chatting.

DFW

(54,372 posts)
30. "Sen. Sanders is largely unknown in Iowa."
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:37 PM
May 2015

I see all these podcasts from the States where someone goes with a mic and a camera to a college campus and asks who is the Vice-President of the United States, name a member of the Supreme Court, or one of the Senators from their State, and draws a complete blank with 90% of the people asked.

It's a wonder the people in any given State can name the countries on our northern and southern borders, let alone know who Bernie Sanders is. If they don't know who Joe Biden is, they sure as hell don't know who Bernie Sanders is. I met the editor in chief of a national (non-political) publication while in the States last month--a smart, educated guy, maybe 40 years old, and he hadn't the faintest idea who Howard Dean was.

 

AtomicKitten

(46,585 posts)
32. He's got nowhere to go but up.
Sat May 9, 2015, 02:47 PM
May 2015

I think once people accept that Elizabeth is not running, they'll come around for Bernie. Once the field assembles, I suspect an endorsement from Elizabeth will move that along nicely.

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
41. Bernie will be HELPED by the caucus process...
Sun May 10, 2015, 06:29 AM
May 2015

I'm a former resident of Iowa from college years when I first started voting then. And caucus states facilitate people to be more involved and getting to know the various candidates. Especially those candidates that make a special effort to meet people there. I believe that is why Iowa is made one of the first states of primary season. It gives the field a chance to get to personally know the people out there, and the people to more personally know the candidates and help facilitate the democratic process more of having candidates craft policies and platform positions based on what they learn from their interactions with people.

I think Bernie will finish strongly in a process like this with Iowa Democrats.

As long as the media don't pull another "Howard Dean diversion" manipulating mike levels to make him sound "too loud" that sank his campaign when that sort of manipulation happened in his run then.

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